A consensus forecast is a prediction of the future created by combining several separate forecasts which have often been created using different methodologies...
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Bank and the OECD. A broad range of forecasts are collected and compiled by "Consensus Economics". Some forecasts are produced annually, but many are...
28 KB (2,954 words) - 18:11, 27 July 2025
Delphi method (redirect from Delphi consensus)
advantages over another structured forecasting approach, prediction markets. Delphi can also be used to help reach expert consensus and develop professional guidelines...
39 KB (4,583 words) - 02:53, 15 July 2025
survey on forecast probabilities each January in its Consensus Forecasts, Asia Pacific Consensus Forecasts and Eastern Europe Consensus Forecasts publications...
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Consensus Economics is a global macroeconomic survey firm that polls more than 1000 economists monthly for their forecasts for over 2000 macroeconomic...
17 KB (1,697 words) - 10:23, 17 June 2025
range of the forecast) increases. The use of ensembles and model consensus helps narrow the error and provide confidence in the forecast. There is a vast...
76 KB (7,769 words) - 08:30, 5 August 2025
also sometimes referred to as supply chain forecasting, embraces both statistical forecasting and a consensus process. Studies have shown that extrapolations...
41 KB (5,326 words) - 00:07, 26 May 2025
Reference class forecasting or comparison class forecasting is a method of predicting the future by looking at similar past situations and their outcomes...
14 KB (1,749 words) - 16:37, 18 June 2025
Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact analysis Delphi Real-time Delphi Foresight Future-proof...
10 KB (1,221 words) - 12:51, 2 August 2025
Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact analysis Delphi Real-time Delphi Foresight Future-proof...
28 KB (2,064 words) - 09:19, 20 July 2025
hurricane forecast has been sent. The use of consensus, ensemble, and superensemble forecasts lowers errors more than any individual forecast model. Both...
31 KB (3,623 words) - 22:47, 16 April 2025
portal Calculating demand forecast accuracy Consensus forecast Optimism bias Demand forecasting Exponential growth bias Forecast skill APICS Dictionary 12th...
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Trend analysis (redirect from Trend forecasting)
(trends). Cool-hunting Extrapolation Horizon scanning Technology forecasting Weather forecasting Trend analysis tries to predict a trend like a bull market...
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widely used in technology forecasts because of its flexibility and convenience. However, the requirement on reaching consensus is a possible disadvantage...
20 KB (2,167 words) - 08:08, 24 June 2025
Demand forecasting, also known as demand planning and sales forecasting (DP&SF), involves the prediction of the quantity of goods and services that will...
22 KB (2,831 words) - 20:48, 26 May 2025
270toWin (section Polling and Forecasts)
polling data and professional election projections. It features consensus forecasts compiled from multiple political analysts, providing users with a...
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The Western Blue Chip Economic Forecast is a consensus forecast prepared by the W. P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University for the economies...
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Theodore (2002) "Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change" Archived 2021-02-15 at the Wayback Machine, Technological Forecasting & Social Change...
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Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact analysis Delphi Real-time Delphi Foresight Future-proof...
8 KB (785 words) - 08:48, 28 June 2025
Moore's law (section Forecasts and roadmaps)
another decade. In 1975, looking forward to the next decade, he revised the forecast to doubling every two years, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 41%...
105 KB (10,762 words) - 05:48, 6 August 2025
Economic Indicators, a monthly publication of Aspen Publishers with consensus forecasts of the economy of the United States Blue Chip Electronics, a defunct...
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Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact analysis Delphi Real-time Delphi Foresight Future-proof...
6 KB (783 words) - 01:26, 9 June 2024
Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact analysis Delphi Real-time Delphi Foresight Future-proof...
8 KB (801 words) - 18:54, 18 June 2025
physical properties of the mass–energy in the universe. There is a strong consensus among cosmologists that the shape of the universe is considered "flat"...
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learning modes of research. In this method, forecasts, the meanings individuals give to these forecasts, the critical assumptions used, the narratives...
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in the innovation process: From Queen to Cinderella?” Technological Forecasting & Social Change 76, 861–867. Marius Vassiliou, Stan Davis, and Jonathan...
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Backcasting (section Backcasting vs. forecasting)
analysis, backcasting can be considered to be the opposite of forecasting; thus: forecasting involves the prediction of the future (unknown) values of the...
12 KB (1,425 words) - 09:58, 13 October 2024
Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact analysis Delphi Real-time Delphi Foresight Future-proof...
28 KB (3,794 words) - 00:13, 20 June 2025
Techniques Backcasting Causal layered analysis Chain-linked model Consensus forecast Cross impact analysis Delphi Real-time Delphi Foresight Future-proof...
6 KB (746 words) - 03:59, 12 January 2025
There is a nearly unanimous scientific consensus that the Earth has been consistently warming since the start of the Industrial Revolution, that the rate...
72 KB (7,977 words) - 05:23, 4 August 2025