• Rational expectations is an economic theory that seeks to infer the macroeconomic consequences of individuals' decisions based on all available knowledge...
    14 KB (2,091 words) - 06:21, 14 May 2025
  • Thumbnail for Inflation
    begets further inflationary expectations, which beget further (built-in) inflation. The important role of rational expectations is recognized by the emphasis...
    124 KB (14,276 words) - 08:05, 10 June 2025
  • model of how expectations are formed, called rational expectations. The use of rational expectations have largely replaced adaptive expectations in macroeconomic...
    7 KB (995 words) - 13:09, 4 October 2024
  • He is "the father of the rational expectations revolution in economics", primarily due to his article "Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements"...
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  • Thumbnail for Robert Lucas Jr.
    Sciences in 1995 "for having developed and applied the hypothesis of rational expectations, and thereby having transformed macroeconomic analysis and deepened...
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  • which confounded the traditional Phillips curve. The rational expectations theory said that expectations of inflation were equal to what actually happened...
    41 KB (5,606 words) - 23:50, 5 June 2025
  • adaptive expectations may make ever-increasing errors over time has led many economists to conclude that it is better to assume rational expectations, that...
    18 KB (2,541 words) - 21:11, 10 April 2025
  • Thumbnail for Stanley Fischer
    Long-Term Contracts, Rational Expectations, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule, which reconciled the concept of rational expectations—developed by new classical...
    32 KB (2,540 words) - 05:56, 7 June 2025
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    Robert Lucas introduced rational expectations to macroeconomics. Prior to Lucas, economists had generally used adaptive expectations where agents were assumed...
    66 KB (7,913 words) - 18:47, 23 May 2025
  • Thumbnail for John B. Taylor
    served as an underpinning of a new class of empirical models with rational expectations and sticky prices—sometimes called new Keynesian models. In a 1993...
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  • the importance of foundations based on microeconomics, especially rational expectations. New classical macroeconomics strives to provide neoclassical microeconomic...
    14 KB (1,636 words) - 22:19, 21 March 2025
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    macroeconomists criticized Keynesian models that did not work under rational expectations. Lucas also argued that Keynesian empirical models would not be...
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  • Thumbnail for Thomas J. Sargent
    Sargent's main contributions to rational expectations were these: trace the implications of rational expectations, with Wallace, for alternative monetary-policy...
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  • Lucas critique to modeling consumption. He incorporated the idea of rational expectations into his consumption models and sets up the model so that consumers...
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  • Rational choice modeling refers to the use of decision theory (the theory of rational choice) as a set of guidelines to help understand economic and social...
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  • macroeconomics Homo economicus Lucas critique Efficient-market hypothesis Rational expectations Real business cycle theory Ricardian equivalence Saltwater theories...
    9 KB (1,014 words) - 10:18, 14 March 2025
  • by Thomas J. Sargent and Neil Wallace based upon the theory of rational expectations, which posits that monetary policy cannot systematically manage...
    12 KB (1,481 words) - 18:12, 7 September 2024
  • Thumbnail for Patrick Minford
    rational expectations; and was at the forefront of what came to be known as the 'rational expectations revolution'. At this time adaptive expectations was...
    16 KB (1,883 words) - 18:43, 13 December 2024
  • macroeconomic analysis usually assumes that households and firms have rational expectations. However, the two schools differ in that New Keynesian analysis...
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  • supply and price and output changes in a simplified economy using rational expectations. It delivered a new classical explanation of the Phillips curve...
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  • to new classical macroeconomics heavily based on the concept of rational expectations. The freshwater–saltwater distinction is largely antiquated today...
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  • and "rational expectations" theory, led by Robert Lucas, and real business cycle theory. In contrast, the new Keynesian approach retains the rational expectations...
    175 KB (17,938 words) - 02:16, 1 June 2025
  • Thumbnail for Edmund Phelps
    came under heavy criticism with the introduction of John Muth's rational expectations, which was popularized by future Nobel prize winner Robert Lucas...
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  • Thumbnail for Shyam Sunder (economist)
    information: An application of rational-expectations models”, with C. R. Plott, Journal of Political Economy, 1982. “Rational expectations and the aggregation of...
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  • decision for themself. See rational choice theory and rational expectations for further discussion; the article on rationality widens the discussion. As...
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  • Thumbnail for Permanent income hypothesis
    by Robert Hall in a rational expectations model. Originally applied to consumption and income, the process of future expectations is thought to influence...
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  • Rationality is the quality of being guided by or based on reason. In this regard, a person acts rationally if they have a good reason for what they do...
    135 KB (15,419 words) - 21:53, 31 May 2025
  • Multi-Academy free school Trust Rational Emotive Therapy, therapy now referred to as rational emotive behavior therapy Rational Expectations Theory, economic model-consistent...
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  • classical macroeconomics and rational expectations hypothesis can explain how and why inflation targeting works. Expectations of firms (or the subjective...
    55 KB (5,578 words) - 12:46, 25 May 2025
  • paper, "Rational expectations and the role of monetary policy" in which he argued that information asymmetries would cause real effects as rational economic...
    16 KB (1,532 words) - 01:14, 11 June 2025