The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person's subjective confidence in their judgments is reliably greater than the objective...

misunderstood as a claim about general overconfidence of people with low intelligence instead of specific overconfidence of people unskilled at a particular...

false consensus is significant because it increases self-esteem (overconfidence effect). This bias is especially prevalent in group settings where one...

usually pervasive better-than-average effect (in contexts where the two are compared or the overconfidence effect in other situations). It has been proposed...

who do not are either uninformed, lazy, irrational, or biased. Overconfidence effect, a tendency to have excessive confidence in one's own answers to...

several attempts to curb overconfidence proving unsuccessful, Tversky and Kahneman (1971) suggest an effective solution to overconfidence is for subjects to...

Overestimation of abilities compared to an objective measure is known as the overconfidence effect. The term "illusory superiority" was first used by the researchers...

effect Nocebo effect Novelty effect Numerosity adaptation effect Observer-expectancy effect Out-group homogeneity effect Overconfidence effect Overjustification...

'cognitive overconfidence bias' is mediated by selective attention to particular data sets". One specific point they made was that the hard-easy effect is almost...

over-engineered, bloated systems, due to inflated expectations and overconfidence. The phrase was first used by Fred Brooks in his book The Mythical Man-Month...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

to Vanity. Confidence Dunning–Kruger effect Grandiose delusions Haughtiness Icarus complex Overconfidence effect Self-serving bias Bonfire of the Vanities...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

and decision making List of memory biases Optimism bias Overconfidence effect Positivity effect Positivity offset Reality principle Rosy retrospection...

(Soft matter) (Fluid dynamics) Overconfidence effect (cognitive biases) (psychological theories) Overjustification effect (educational psychology) (psychological...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

Almost all arguments involving the Drake equation suffer from the overconfidence effect, a common error of probabilistic reasoning about low-probability...

Positive effect from the perceived value of a personPages displaying short descriptions of redirect targets Hubris – Extreme pride or overconfidence, often...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

the window involved. According to NASA scientist Geoffrey A. Landis, the effect depends on the size of the hole, which can be expanded by debris that is...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

weaker lower limb due to fear of it not being strong enough. On the overconfidence effect, Martin Hilbert argues that confidence bias can be explained by...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

decompression Diver behaviour and competence Lack of competence Overconfidence effect Panic Task loading Trait anxiety Willful violation Diving procedures...

heuristic, the conjunction fallacy, the affect heuristic, and the overconfidence effect. Scope insensitivity influences how bad people consider the extinction...