2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

← 2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020 →
All 18 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Democratic Republican Last election 5 13 Seats before 6 12 Seats won 9 9 Seat change 3 3 Popular vote 2,712,665 2,206,260 Percentage 55.03% 44.75% Swing 9.33% 9.16%
Election results by district Election results by county Democratic   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   >90% Republican   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%

Elections in Pennsylvania
Federal government U.S. President 1789 1792 1796 1800 1804 1808 1812 1816 1820 1824 1828 1832 1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 Presidential primaries Democratic 2000 2004 2008 2016 2020 2024 Republican 2008 2016 2020 2024 U.S. Senate 1788 1791 1793 sp 1794 sp 1795 1796 1797 1801 1801 sp 1802 1806 1808 1808 sp 1809 sp 1812 1814 1814 sp 1818 1820 1824 1826 1830 1831 sp 1832 1834 sp 1836 1840 sp 1843 1845 1845 sp 1849 1851 1856 1857 1861 1861 sp 1863 1867 1869 1873 1875 1877 sp 1879 1881 1885 1887 1891 1893 1897 1899 1901 sp 1903 1905 1905 sp 1908 1909 1909 sp 1911 1914 1916 1920 1922 1922 sp 1926 1928 1930 sp 1932 1934 1938 1940 1944 1946 1950 1952 1956 1958 1962 1964 1968 1970 1974 1976 1980 1982 1986 1988 1991 sp 1992 1994 1998 2000 2004 2006 2010 2012 2016 2018 2022 2024 2028 U.S. House of Representatives 1788 1791 1792 1794 1796 5th sp 1797 5th sp 1798 1st sp 4th sp 1800 8th sp 1801 4th sp 8th sp 12th sp 1802 1804 10th sp 1805 4th sp 11th sp 1806 1st sp 1808 1st sp 1809 1st sp 1810 1812 1813 3rd sp 5th sp 7th sp 13th sp 15th sp 1814 2nd sp 3rd sp 1815 1st sp 3rd sp 9th sp 1816 9th sp 1817 10th sp 1818 4th sp 6th sp 1820 5th sp 7th sp 1821 5th sp 10th sp 1822 1st sp 6th sp 7th sp 14th sp 1824 8th sp 13th sp 1825 16th sp 1826 2nd sp 7th sp 13th sp 18th sp 1827 2nd sp 1828 1829 8th sp 16th sp 1830 1831 11th sp 1832 1833 1st sp 1834 1836 13th sp 24th sp 1837 3rd sp 1838 9th sp 1839 14th sp 1840 13th sp 22nd sp 1841 2nd sp 13th sp 20th sp 18th sp Jun Dec 1842 17th sp 21st sp 1843 1844 12th sp 13th sp 21st sp 1846 1848 6th sp 1850 11th sp 15th sp 1852 1854 8th sp 1856 1857 12th sp 1858 8th sp 1860 8th sp 1861 2nd sp 12th sp 1862 7th sp 1864 1866 1867 12th sp 1868 9th sp 20th sp 1870 1872 13th sp 1874 23rd sp 1876 12th sp 1878 1880 1882 1884 19th sp 1885 19th sp 1886 1888 1890 3rd sp 4th sp 1892 1893 2nd sp 8th sp 1894 at-large sp 1895 15th sp 1896 1897 25th sp 1898 23rd sp 1899 9th sp 1900 5th sp 1901 10th sp 1902 17th sp 1903 4th sp 1904 3rd sp 1906 2nd sp 3rd sp 12th sp 1907 2nd sp 1908 1910 1911 2nd sp 14th sp 1912 1st sp 1914 1916 1917 28th sp 1918 1919 22nd sp 1920 3rd sp 1921 at-large sp 1922 1924 1926 1927 1st sp 1928 8th sp 1929 12th sp 1930 1931 2nd sp 1932 6th sp 18th sp 20th sp 1933 9th sp 1934 1936 1937 18th sp 1938 1939 4th sp 1940 1941 15th sp 1942 11th sp 12th sp 33rd sp 1943 2nd sp 23rd sp 1944 2nd sp 17th sp 1946 10th sp 23rd sp 33rd sp 1947 8th sp 1948 1949 22nd sp 26th sp 1950 1951 8th sp 14th sp 33rd sp 1952 1954 1956 2nd sp 30th sp 1957 13th sp 1958 4th sp 21st sp 1960 17th sp 18th sp 1961 16th sp 1962 1963 15th sp 23rd sp 1964 5th sp 1966 1968 1970 9th sp 1971 18th sp 1972 27th sp 1974 12th sp 1976 1st sp 1978 1980 11th sp 12th sp 1981 3rd sp 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1991 2nd sp 1992 1994 1996 1998 1st sp 2000 2001 9th sp 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 12th sp 2012 2014 2016 2nd sp 2018 7th sp 15th sp 18th sp 2019 12th sp 2020 2022 2024
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Government
v t e

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 18 U.S. representatives from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's 18 congressional districts.

The elections coincided with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans. New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018.^[1][2]

The 2018 general election saw the Democrats gain four seats and the Republicans gain one seat, for a Democratic net gain of three seats, changing the state's representation from 12 to 6 Republican to a 9–9 tie. In addition, Pennsylvanians in several districts elected female candidates to the U.S. House, thus ending four years of all-male Congressional representation in the state.^[3]

Redistricting[edit]

In January 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state's congressional map, ruling it had been unfairly gerrymandered to favor Republicans.^[4][5] New maps were subsequently adopted in February 2018, for use in the 2018 elections and took effect with representation in 2019.^[2]

Overview[edit]

Statewide[edit]

Party		Candidates	Votes		Seats
			No.	%	No.	+/–	%
	Democratic	18	2,712,665	54.92%	9	3	50.00%
	Republican	17	2,206,260	44.67%	9	3	50.00%
	Libertarian	2	10,950	0.22%	0		0.00%
	Write-in	1	9,452	0.19%	0		0.00%
Total		38	4,939,327	100.0%	18		100.00%

Popular vote Democratic   54.97% Republican   44.81% Libertarian   0.22% Write-in   0.19%

House seats Democratic   50.00% Republican   50.00% Libertarian   0.00%

District[edit]

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania:^[6]

District	Democratic		Republican		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	160,745	48.74%	169,053	51.26%	0	0.00%	329,798	100.0%	Republican hold
District 2	159,600	79.02%	42,382	20.98%	0	0.00%	201,982	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 3	287,610	93.38%	20,387	6.62%	0	0.00%	307,997	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 4	211,524	63.52%	121,467	36.48%	0	0.00%	332,991	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 5	198,639	65.19%	106,075	34.81%	0	0.00%	304,714	100.0%	Democratic gain
District 6	177,704	58.88%	124,124	41.12%	0	0.00%	301,828	100.0%	Democratic gain
District 7	140,813	53.49%	114,437	43.47%	8,011	3.04%	263,261	100.0%	Democratic gain
District 8	135,603	54.64%	112,563	45.36%	0	0.00%	248,166	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 9	100,204	40.25%	148,723	59.75%	0	0.00%	248,927	100.0%	Republican hold
District 10	141,668	48.68%	149,365	51.32%	0	0.00%	291,033	100.0%	Republican hold
District 11	113,876	41.02%	163,708	58.98%	0	0.00%	277,584	100.0%	Republican hold
District 12	82,825	33.96%	161,047	66.04%	0	0.00%	243,872	100.0%	Republican hold
District 13	74,733	29.51%	178,533	70.49%	0	0.00%	253,266	100.0%	Republican hold
District 14	110,051	42.09%	151,386	57.91%	0	0.00%	261,437	100.0%	Republican gain
District 15	78,327	32.16%	165,245	67.84%	0	0.00%	243,572	100.0%	Republican hold
District 16	124,109	47.30%	135,348	51.58%	2,939	1.12%	262,396	100.0%	Republican hold
District 17	183,162	56.26%	142,417	43.74%	0	0.00%	325,579	100.00%	Democratic gain
District 18	231,472	96.08%	0	0.00%	9,452	3.92%	240,924	100.0%	Democratic hold
Total	2,712,665	54.92%%	2,206,260	44.67%	20,402	0.41%	4,939,327	100.0%

District 1[edit]

2018 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Brian Fitzpatrick Scott Wallace Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 169,053 160,745 Percentage 51.3% 48.7%

County results Precinct results Fitzpatrick:      50–60%      60–70% Wallace:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90% Tie:      50%

U.S. Representative before election Brian Fitzpatrick (8th) Republican Elected U.S. Representative Brian Fitzpatrick Republican

The 1st district previously consisted of central and South Philadelphia, the City of Chester, the Philadelphia International Airport and other small sections of Delaware County.^[7] Under the new congressional map that was in place in 2019 (represented per 2018's elections), the first district overlaps with much of the former 8th district, which is represented by Republican Representative Brian Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick took office in 2017, succeeding his brother, former Representative Mike Fitzpatrick. The new 1st district consists of Bucks County and a small portion of Montgomery County.^[7]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Brian Fitzpatrick, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Dean Malik, former Bucks County Assistant District Attorney and candidate for this seat in 2010 & 2016^[8]

Withdrawn[edit]

• Valerie Mihalek, former Yardley Borough council member and deputy district director for former U.S. Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick^[9]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent)	31,374	67.0
	Republican	Dean Malik	15,451	33.0
Total votes			46,825	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

The old 8th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.^[10]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Scott Wallace, charitable foundation director and grandson of former Vice President Henry Wallace^[11]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Steven Bacher, environmentalist^[12]
• Rachel Reddick, former Navy prosecutor^[13]

Declined[edit]

• Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Bucks County commissioner^[14]

Campaign[edit]

The race featured a number of negative ads between Reddick and Wallace. With Reddick's campaign releasing an ad calling Wallace a “Maryland multi-millionaire” and stating that he had case an absentee ballot cast from his second home in a South African “gated luxury estate”. The Wallace campaign responded with an ad higlishting Reddick flubbing a question about the so-called “global gag rule” during a campaign stop in Ottsville,^[15] and for her having been registered as a Republican for most of her adult life.^[16]

Many DC Democrats expressed excitement about Wallace's potential to spend big to defeat Fitzpatrick, especially in the expensive Philadelphia market. He loaned his campaign $2.5 million while Reddick only raised $363,000 and was shunned by most party strategists.^[17]

Endorsements[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Scott Wallace	27,652	56.5
	Democratic	Rachel Reddick	17,288	35.3
	Democratic	Steven Bacher	4,006	8.2
Total votes			48,946	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Debate[edit]

2018 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Brian Fitzpatrick	Scott Wallace
1	October 19, 2018	Bucks County Chamber of Commerce Pennsylvania Cable Network League of Women Voters of Bucks County	Carlo Borgia	C-SPAN	P	P

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Brian Fitzpatrick (R)	Scott Wallace (D)	Other	Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 26–29, 2018	502	± 4.7%	47%	46%	–	7%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 11–14, 2018	570	± 4.6%	43%	50%	–	8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fitzpatrick)	October 2–4, 2018	400	± 4.9%	50%	42%	–	–
Monmouth University	September 27 – October 1, 2018	353	± 5.2%	50%	46%	1%	3%
Monmouth University	May 31 – June 3, 2018	254 LV	± 6.5%	48%	47%	0%	5%
		451 RV	± 4.6%	49%	42%	1%	8%
DCCC (D)	May 12–14, 2018	540	± 4.2%	48%	46%	—	6%

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[44]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[45]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[46]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
RCP[47]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[48]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
538[49]	Tossup	November 7, 2018
CNN[50]	Tossup	October 31, 2018
Politico[51]	Tossup	November 4, 2018

Results[edit]

Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district, 2018^[52]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent)	169,053	51.3
	Democratic	Scott Wallace	160,745	48.7
Total votes			329,798	100.0
	Republican hold

Analysis[edit]

Fitzpatrick held out to win re-election, despite many similar suburban districts held by Republicans falling to Democrats in the 2018 cycle. Fitzpatrick did this by establishing a reputation for himself as an independent centrist who attained endorsements from several usually-left-leaning and nonpartisan groups without enraging the more fervently pro-Trump wing of the Republican party. Analysts considered the Democratic nominee Scott Wallace an unusually weak candidate: he was a wealthy heir who moved to the district, opening up accusations of carpetbagging, and made several gaffes and missteps. Editor Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report wrote that Wallace was perhaps the weakest candidate of the 2018 cycle.^[53]

District 2[edit]

2018 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Brendan Boyle Dave Torres Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 159,600 42,382 Percentage 79.0% 21.0%

County result Precinct results Boyle:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Torres:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Bob Brady (1st) Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Brendan Boyle Democratic

The 2nd district consists of the northern half of Philadelphia. It mostly overlaps with the old 1st District. That district's incumbent, Democrat Bob Brady, had served since 1998, but did not run for reelection. The incumbent of the old 2nd district is Dwight Evans, but Evans opted to follow most of his constituents into the 3rd District.^[7]

The new map drew the home of fellow Democrat Brendan Boyle, who has represented the neighboring 13th District since 2015, into the 2nd, leading to speculation that he would run for reelection there. Soon after the new map was released, Boyle confirmed that he would indeed run in the 2nd.^[54]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Brendan Boyle, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Michele Lawrence, former Senior Vice President for Wells Fargo^[55]

Declined[edit]

• Bob Brady, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Brendan Boyle (incumbent)	23,261	64.5
	Democratic	Michele Lawrence	12,814	35.5
Total votes			36,075	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• David Torres, community activist

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	David Torres	7,443	100.0
Total votes			7,443	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Brendan Boyle (incumbent)	159,600	79.0
	Republican	David Torres	42,382	21.0
Total votes			201,982	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 3[edit]

2018 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Dwight Evans Bryan E. Leib Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 287,610 20,387 Percentage 93.4% 6.6%

County result Precinct results Evans:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election Dwight Evans (2nd) Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Dwight Evans Democratic

The 3rd district was previously located in Northwestern Pennsylvania, but now covers downtown and northern Philadelphia, and overlaps with much of the previous 2nd district.^[7] The incumbent from the 2nd district is Democrat Dwight Evans, who has held office since 2016. Evans defeated incumbent Democratic Representative Chaka Fattah in the 2016 Democratic primary, and then went on to be elected with 90% in both the general election and a simultaneous special election for the remainder of the term after Fattah resigned.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Dwight Evans, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Kevin Johnson

Endorsements[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dwight Evans (incumbent)	72,106	80.8
	Democratic	Kevin Johnson	17,153	19.2
Total votes			89,259	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Bryan Leib

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bryan E. Leib	3,331	100.0
Total votes			3,331	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dwight Evans (incumbent)	287,610	93.4
	Republican	Bryan E. Leib	20,387	6.6
Total votes			307,997	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 4[edit]

2018 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Madeleine Dean Dan David Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 211,524 121,467 Percentage 63.5% 36.5%

County results Precinct results Dean:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% David:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Brendan Boyle (13th) Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Madeleine Dean Democratic

The old 4th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 4th district is centered in Montgomery County. The district overlaps with the former 13th district. The incumbent from this district, Democrat Brendan Boyle, could have sought re-election in either this district or the new 2nd district, which absorbed his home and most of old 13th's share of Philadelphia.^[7] Boyle opted to run in the 2nd, making the 4th an open seat.

Democratic primary[edit]

State Senator Daylin Leach had announced that he would run for Congress in the old 7th District, but was expected to switch races after his home was drawn into the new 4th. However, on February 24, 2018, Leach succumbed to pressures from fellow Democrats, including Governor Tom Wolf, to abandon his congressional campaign in the face of accusations of sexual harassment. However, he remained in his Pennsylvania Senate seat.^[58]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Madeleine Dean, state representative

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Shira Goodman, public policy advocate^[59]
• Joe Hoeffel, former U.S. Representative, nominee for Senate in 2004 and candidate for governor in 2010^[60]

Withdrawn[edit]

• Mary Jo Daley, state representative (endorsed Dean)^[61]
• Daylin Leach, state senator and candidate for the 13th district in 2014^[62]

Declined[edit]

• Allyson Schwartz, former U.S. Representative and candidate for governor in 2014^[63]

Endorsements[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Madeleine Dean	42,625	72.6
	Democratic	Shira Goodman	9,645	16.4
	Democratic	Joe Hoeffel	6,431	11.0
Total votes			58,701	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Dan David, investor

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Dan David	28,889	100.0
Total votes			28,889	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Madeleine Dean	211,524	63.5
	Republican	Dan David	121,467	36.5
Total votes			332,991	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 5[edit]

2018 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election

← 2018 (special) 2020 →

Nominee Mary Gay Scanlon Pearl Kim Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 198,639 106,075 Percentage 65.2% 34.8%

County results Precinct results Scanlon:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Kim:      50–60%      60–70% Tie:      50%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Mary Gay Scanlon (7th) Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Mary Gay Scanlon Democratic

The old 5th district was in North Central Pennsylvania, but the new 5th district consists of Delaware County, portions of southern Philadelphia, and a sliver of Montgomery County. The district overlaps with much of the old 7th district, whose incumbent Republican Representative Pat Meehan chose not to seek re-election, due to allegations regarding a sexual harassment complaint that was settled with the use of taxpayer funds,^[7][67] and subsequently resigned from office in April.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Pearl Kim, former Deputy Attorney General of Pennsylvania

Disqualified[edit]

• Paul Addis^[68]

Declined[edit]

• Pat Meehan, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Pearl Kim	33,685	100.0
Total votes			33,685	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Mary Gay Scanlon, attorney and former Wallingford-Swarthmore School Board member

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Larry Arata, teacher and environmental advocate
• Margo L. Davidson, state representative
• Thaddeus Kirkland, Mayor of Chester
• Richard Lazer, former Deputy Mayor of Philadelphia
• Lindy Li, financial manager and candidate for this seat in 2014
• Ashley Lunkenheimer, former assistant U.S. attorney in the Eastern District of Pennsylvania
• Molly Sheehan, scientist
• Greg Vitali, state representative
• Theresa Wright, entrepreneur

Withdrawn[edit]

• George Badey III, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2012^[69]
• Shelly Chauncey, attorney and former CIA agent^[70] (endorsed Lunkenheimer)^[69]
• Dan Muroff, attorney^[68]
• David Wertime, journalist^[71]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Margo Davidson	Thaddeus Kirkland	Rich Lazer	Lindy Li	Ashley Lunkenheimer	Mary Gay Scanlon	Molly Sheehan	Greg Vitali	Theresa Wright	Other	Undecided
Chism Strategies Advocacy & Elections	May 2018	638	±3.8	—	—	7%	—	11%	22%	—	17%	—	—	57%
Independence Communications and Consulting	April 2018	858	±3.3	—	—	7%	12%	10%	17%	7%	13%	—	7%	27%
Public Policy Polling (D-Vitali)	April 23–24, 2018	562	—	5%	4%	5%	—	6%	18%	6%	17%	8%	5%	25%

Forum[edit]

2018 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district democratic primary candidate forum

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Larry Arata	George Badey III	Shelly Chauncey	Margo L. Davidson	Thaddeus Kirkland	Richard Lazer	Lindy Li	Ashley Lunkenheimer	Dan Muroff	Mary Gay Scanlon	Molly Sheehan	Greg Vitali	David Wertime	Theresa Wright
1[72]	April 5, 2018				P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	A
2[74]	May 1, 2018	League of Women Voters of Central Delaware County	Jennifer Levy-Tatum	YouTube	P	W	W	P	A	A	P	P	W	P	P	P	W	P

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mary Gay Scanlon	16,804	28.4
	Democratic	Ashley Lunkenheimer	9,044	15.3
	Democratic	Richard Lazer	8,892	15.0
	Democratic	Molly Sheehan	6,099	10.3
	Democratic	Greg Vitali	5,558	9.4
	Democratic	Lindy Li	4,126	7.0
	Democratic	Theresa Wright	3,046	5.2
	Democratic	Thaddeus Kirkland	2,327	3.9
	Democratic	Margo L. Davidson	2,275	3.9
	Democratic	Larry Arata	913	1.5
Total votes			59,084	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[44]	Likely D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[45]	Likely D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[46]	Safe D (flip)	November 5, 2018
RCP[47]	Likely D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[48]	Safe D (flip)	November 5, 2018
538[49]	Safe D (flip)	November 7, 2018
CNN[50]	Likely D (flip)	October 31, 2018
Politico[51]	Safe D (flip)	November 4, 2018

Results[edit]

Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mary Gay Scanlon	198,639	65.2
	Republican	Pearl Kim	106,075	34.8
Total votes			304,714	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

District 6[edit]

2018 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Chrissy Houlahan Greg McCauley Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 177,704 124,124 Percentage 58.9% 41.1%

County results Precinct results Houlahan:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% McCauley:      50–60%      60–70%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election Ryan Costello Republican Elected U.S. Representative Chrissy Houlahan Democratic

The 6th district consists of Chester County and Reading.^[7] The incumbent is Republican Ryan Costello, who has represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 57% of the vote in 2016. On March 24, 2018, Costello announced that he would no longer seek re-election due to the growing Democratic voter demographic in the 6th district.^[75] Costello formally withdrew his name on March 27.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Greg McCauley

Withdrawn[edit]

• Ryan Costello, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Greg McCauley	31,611	100.0
Total votes			31,611	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Chrissy Houlahan, former United States Air Force Captain, engineer and businesswoman

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chrissy Houlahan	34,947	100.0
Total votes			34,947	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[44]	Likely D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[45]	Likely D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[46]	Safe D (flip)	November 5, 2018
RCP[47]	Likely D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[48]	Safe D (flip)	November 5, 2018
538[49]	Safe D (flip)	November 7, 2018
CNN[50]	Likely D (flip)	October 31, 2018
Politico[51]	Likely D (flip)	November 4, 2018

Results[edit]

Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district, 2018^[87]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chrissy Houlahan	177,704	58.9
	Republican	Greg McCauley	124,124	41.1
Total votes			301,828	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

District 7[edit]

2018 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election

← 2018 (special) 2020 →

Nominee Susan Wild Marty Nothstein Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 140,813 114,437 Percentage 53.5% 43.5%

County results Precinct results Wild:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Nothstein:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70% Tie:      40–50%

U.S. Representative before election Susan Wild (15th) Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Susan Wild Democratic

The 7th district was formerly centered on Delaware County, but the new district consisted of much of the Lehigh Valley. The new 7th district overlapped with much of the former 15th district, which was represented by retired Republican Representative Charlie Dent who resigned early.^[7]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Marty Nothstein, chairman of the Lehigh County Board of Commissioners^[88]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Dean Browning, former member of the Lehigh County Board of Commissioners^[89]

Withdrawn[edit]

• Ryan Mackenzie, state representative^[90]
• Mike Pries, Dauphin County commissioner^[91]
• Justin Simmons, state representative^[92]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Marty Nothstein	16,004	50.5
	Republican	Dean Browning	15,696	49.5
Total votes			31,700	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Susan Wild, former Allentown Solicitor^[93]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• David Clark, Catasauqua resident^[94]
• Rick Daugherty, former chair of the Lehigh County Democratic Party and nominee for this seat in 2012 & 2016^[95]
• Greg Edwards, pastor^[96]
• John Morganelli, Northampton County District Attorney, candidate for Pennsylvania Attorney General in 2000, 2004 & 2016 and nominee in 2008^[97]
• Roger Ruggles, Easton city councilmember^[98]

Withdrawn[edit]

• David Weidman, Army veteran^[99][100]

Endorsements[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Susan Wild	15,001	33.3
	Democratic	John Morganelli	13,565	30.1
	Democratic	Greg Edwards	11,510	25.6
	Democratic	Roger Ruggles	2,443	5.4
	Democratic	Rick Daugherty	1,718	3.8
	Democratic	David Clark	766	1.7
Total votes			45,003	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Marty Nothstein (R)	Susan Wild (D)	Tim Silfies (L)	Undecided
Muhlenberg College Archived October 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine	October 14–18, 2018	411	± 5.5%	41%	48%	5%	–
DeSales University Archived October 10, 2018, at the Wayback Machine	September 28 – October 7, 2018	405	± 4.5%	31%	50%	8%	11%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	September 21–25, 2018	539	± 4.7%	42%	50%	–	8%
Monmouth University	September 5–9, 2018	299 LV	± 5.7%	45%	47%	2%	7%
		401 RV	± 4.9%	40%	46%	3%	11%
Muhlenberg College Archived June 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine	April 24 – May 3, 2018	408	± 5.5%	31%	42%	5%	21%

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[44]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[45]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[46]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
RCP[47]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[48]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
538[49]	Safe D (flip)	November 7, 2018
CNN[50]	Lean D (flip)	October 31, 2018
Politico[51]	Lean D (flip)	November 4, 2018

Results[edit]

Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Susan Wild	140,813	53.5
	Republican	Marty Nothstein	114,437	43.5
	Libertarian	Tim Silfies	8,011	3.0
Total votes			263,261	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

District 8[edit]

2018 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Matt Cartwright John Chrin Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 135,603 112,563 Percentage 54.6% 45.4%

County results Precinct results Cartwright:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Chrin:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Matt Cartwright (17th) Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Matt Cartwright Democratic

The 8th district was previously centered on Bucks County, but now consists of portions of Northeastern Pennsylvania, including the city of Scranton. The new district overlaps with much of the former 17th district, which is represented by Democratic Representative Matt Cartwright.^[7] Cartwright has held office since 2013.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Matt Cartwright, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Matt Cartwright (incumbent)	36,040	100.0
Total votes			36,040	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• John Chrin, businessman^[106]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Robert Kuniegel
• Joe Peters, former federal prosecutor^[107]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Chrin	15,136	48.4
	Republican	Joe Peters	10,927	34.9
	Republican	Robert Kuniegel	5,218	16.7
Total votes			31,281	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Matt Cartwright (D)	John Chrin (R)	Other	Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research	October 28–29, 2018	446	± 4.6%	57%	40%	1%[111]	2%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 16–19, 2018	506	± 4.7%	52%	40%	–	8%

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[44]	Likely D	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[45]	Lean D	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[46]	Likely D	November 5, 2018
RCP[47]	Likely D	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[48]	Likely D	November 5, 2018
538[49]	Safe D	November 7, 2018
CNN[50]	Likely D	October 31, 2018
Politico[51]	Likely D	November 4, 2018

Results[edit]

Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Matt Cartwright (incumbent)	135,603	54.6
	Republican	John Chrin	112,563	45.4
Total votes			248,166	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 9[edit]

2018 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Dan Meuser Denny Wolff Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 148,723 100,204 Percentage 59.7% 40.3%

County results Precinct results Meuser:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Wolff:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Lou Barletta (11th) Republican Elected U.S. Representative Dan Meuser Republican

The old 9th district was in South Central Pennsylvania, but the new 9th district is in east central Pennsylvania. The new district overlaps with the old 11th district, which was represented by retiring Republican Representative Lou Barletta.^[7]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Dan Meuser, former Secretary of Revenue of Pennsylvania

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• George Halcovage Jr.
• Scott Uehlinger, delegate to the 2016 Republican National Convention

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Dan Meuser	26,568	53.0
	Republican	George Halcovage Jr.	12,032	24.0
	Republican	Scott Uehlinger	11,541	23.0
Total votes			50,141	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Denny Wolff, former Secretary of Agriculture of Pennsylvania

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Laura Quick, delivery driver
• Gary Wegman, dentist

Endorsements[edit]