2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
All 13 Michigan seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Democratic Republican Last election 7 7 Seats won 7 6 Seat change 1 Popular vote 2,185,663 2,087,277 Percentage 49.83% 47.59% Swing 0.25% 0.68%
Election results by district Election results by county Democratic   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80% Republican   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%

Elections in Michigan
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the thirteen seats in Michigan (reduced from 14 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census). The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19.^[1] The congressional makeup prior to the election was seven Democrats and seven Republicans. However, after the 2020 census, Michigan lost one congressional seat. Democrats won a majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008.^[a] This can be partly attributed to the decrease in the number of districts, which resulted in two Republican incumbents – Bill Huizenga and Fred Upton – in the new 4th district.^[2] Redistricting also played a part in shifting partisan lean of the districts which favored the Democrats overall, including in the 3rd district, which Democrats were able to flip with a margin of victory of 13 points.^[3] That was made possible by a non-partisan citizens' commission drawing the new political boundaries instead of the Michigan legislature after a 2018 ballot proposal was approved.^[4]

District 1[edit]

2022 Michigan's 1st congressional district election

← 2020 2024 →

Nominee Jack Bergman Bob Lorinser Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 233,094 145,403 Percentage 59.98% 37.42%

Results by county Bergman:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Lorinser:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Jack Bergman Republican Elected U.S. Representative Jack Bergman Republican

The 1st district covers the Upper Peninsula and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula, including Traverse City. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2020.^[5] The winner was Jack Bergman.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Jack Bergman, incumbent U.S. Representative^[6]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jack Bergman (incumbent)	111,911	100.0
	Write-in		6	0.0
Total votes			111,917	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Bob Lorinser, physician^[8]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Bob Lorinser	67,251	100.0
Total votes			67,251	100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[9]	Solid R	December 28, 2021
Inside Elections[10]	Solid R	January 13, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]	Safe R	January 4, 2022
Politico[12]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[14]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[15]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[16]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[17]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

2022 Michigan's 1st congressional district election^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jack Bergman (incumbent)	233,094	59.98
	Democratic	Bob Lorinser	145,403	37.42
	Working Class	Liz Hakola	5,510	1.42
	Libertarian	Andrew Gale	4,592	1.18
Total votes			388,599	100.0
	Republican hold

District 2[edit]

2022 Michigan's 2nd congressional district election

← 2020 (4th) 2024 →

Nominee John Moolenaar Jerry Hilliard Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 216,222 116,452 Percentage 63.68% 34.30%

Results by county Moolenaar:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election John Moolenaar Republican Elected U.S. Representative John Moolenaar Republican

The 2nd district runs along the eastern shoreline of Lake Michigan from Manistee to northern Muskegon County, includes parts of the Grand Rapids suburbs in Kent county, and parts of Central Michigan, including Mount Pleasant and western Midland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar of the 4th congressional district, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2020.^[5] The winner was John Moolenaar.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• John Moolenaar, incumbent U.S. Representative^[20]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Tom Norton, veteran^[21]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Moolenaar (incumbent)	77,394	65.2
	Republican	Tom Norton	41,273	34.8
	Write-in		37	0.0
Total votes			118,704	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Jerry Hilliard, nominee for Michigan's 4th congressional district in 2020^[23]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jerry Hilliard	40,952	100.0
Total votes			40,952	100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[9]	Solid R	December 28, 2021
Inside Elections[10]	Solid R	January 13, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]	Safe R	January 4, 2022
Politico[12]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[14]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[15]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[16]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[17]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Results[edit]

2022 Michigan's 2nd congressional district election^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Moolenaar (incumbent)	216,222	63.68
	Democratic	Jerry Hilliard	116,452	34.30
	Libertarian	Nathan Hewer	6,847	2.02
Total votes			339,521	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3[edit]

2022 Michigan's 3rd congressional district election

← 2020 2024 →

Nominee Hillary Scholten John Gibbs Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 185,989 142,229 Percentage 54.87% 41.96%

Results by county Scholten:      50–60% Gibbs:      50–60%

Results by precinct Scholten:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Gibbs:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Tie:      40–50%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Peter Meijer Republican Elected U.S. Representative Hillary Scholten Democratic

The 3rd district is based in western Michigan, and includes Grand Rapids, Muskegon, and parts of Ottawa County. The incumbent was Republican Peter Meijer, who was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2020, but lost in the primary to pro-Trump candidate John Gibbs on August 2, 2022; as he was one of ten House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump after the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.^[5]

In the final days of the primary, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $425,000 in TV ads that ostensibly attacked Gibbs (identifying him as "too conservative for West Michigan" and linking him to Trump) but were in fact designed to boost Gibbs' standing among pro-Trump Republican primary voters. The strategy—controversial within the Democratic Party—was based on the idea that Gibbs would be the weaker opponent in the general election, giving the Democrats an opportunity to win the 3rd district seat,^[24][25][26] which following the 2020 redistricting cycle had shifted from a Republican-leaning district to a swing district.^[26] Democrat Hillary Scholten flipped the district, winning by 12.93%. In flipping the district to the Democratic side, Scholten became the first Democratic member of Congress from the area since 1977.^[27]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• John Gibbs, former Assistant Secretary of Housing and Urban Development for Community Planning and Development and software engineer^[28]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Peter Meijer, incumbent U.S. Representative^[29]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	John Gibbs	Audra Lemons-Johnson	Gabriella Manolache	Peter Meijer	Undecided
Impact Research (D)[A]	January 11–13, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	13%	4%	2%	26%	55%

Results[edit]

Republican primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Gibbs	54,136	51.8
	Republican	Peter Meijer (incumbent)	50,440	48.2
Total votes			104,576	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Hillary Scholten, attorney and nominee for Michigan's 3rd congressional district in 2020^[37]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Hillary Scholten	59,661	100.0
Total votes			59,661	100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[38]	Lean D (flip)	August 5, 2022
Inside Elections[10]	Lean D (flip)	October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]	Lean D (flip)	September 7, 2022
Politico[12]	Lean D (flip)	August 12, 2022
RCP[13]	Tossup	August 3, 2022
Fox News[14]	Lean D (flip)	October 11, 2022
DDHQ[15]	Tossup	November 1, 2022
538[16]	Tossup	October 20, 2022
The Economist[17]	Lean D (flip)	September 28, 2022

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	John Gibbs (R)	Hillary Scholten (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[B]	May 25–26, 2022	676 (V)	± 3.8%	35%	44%	21%

Results[edit]

2022 Michigan's 3rd congressional district election^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Hillary Scholten	185,989	54.87
	Republican	John Gibbs	142,229	41.96
	Libertarian	Jamie Lewis	6,634	1.96
	Working Class	Louis Palus	4,136	1.22
Total votes			338,988	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

District 4[edit]

2022 Michigan's 4th congressional district election

← 2020 (2nd) 2024 →

← 2020 (6th)

Nominee Bill Huizenga Joseph Alfonso Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 183,936 143,690 Percentage 54.36% 42.47%

Results by county Huizenga:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70% Alfonso:      50–60%

U.S. Representatives before election Bill Huizenga (Republican) Fred Upton (Republican) Elected U.S. Representative Bill Huizenga Republican

The 4th district is based in southwestern Michigan, and includes the cities of Kalamazoo and Holland. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Republican Bill Huizenga of the 2nd congressional district, who was re-elected with 59.2% of the vote in 2020,^[5] and Republican Fred Upton of the 6th congressional district, who was re-elected with 55.8% of the vote in 2020.^[5] Upton announced that he would be retiring at the end of his term.^[60] The winner was Bill Huizenga.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Bill Huizenga, incumbent U.S. Representative^[61]

Withdrawn[edit]

• Steve Carra, state representative^[62] (running for re-election, endorsed Huizenga)^[63]

Declined[edit]

• Fred Upton, incumbent U.S. Representative^[64][65]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Huizenga (incumbent)	88,851	100.0
Total votes			88,851	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Joseph Alfonso, member of the Michigan State Plumbing Board, non-profit treasurer, and U.S. Marine Corps veteran^[69][70]

Withdrawn[edit]

• Chris Glasser^[71]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Joseph Alfonso (write-in)	10,992	100.0
Total votes			10,992	100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[38]	Solid R	June 15, 2022
Inside Elections[10]	Solid R	June 15, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]	Safe R	June 15, 2022
Politico[12]	Likely R	June 14, 2022
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[14]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[15]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[16]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[17]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Results[edit]

2022 Michigan's 4th congressional district election^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Huizenga (incumbent)	183,936	54.36
	Democratic	Joseph Alfonso	143,690	42.47
	Libertarian	Lorence Wenke	8,478	2.51
	U.S. Taxpayers	Curtis Michael Clark	2,244	0.66
Total votes			338,348	100.0
	Republican hold

District 5[edit]

2022 Michigan's 5th congressional district election

← 2020 (7th) 2024 →

Nominee Tim Walberg Bart Goldberg Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 198,020 110,946 Percentage 62.42% 34.97%

Results by county Walberg:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Tim Walberg Republican Elected U.S. Representative Tim Walberg Republican

The 5th district runs along Michigan's entire southern border with Indiana and Ohio and includes the cities of Three Rivers, Jackson, and Monroe. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg of the 7th congressional district, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020.^[5] The winner was Tim Walberg.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Tim Walberg, incumbent U.S. Representative^[75]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Sherry O'Donnell, osteopathic physician^[76][77]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tim Walberg (incumbent)	67,582	67.2
	Republican	Sherry O'Donnell	32,886	32.7
	Write-in		97	0.1
Total votes			100,565	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Bart Goldberg, attorney^[79]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Bart Goldberg	39,971	100.0
Total votes			39,971	100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[9]	Solid R	December 28, 2021
Inside Elections[10]	Solid R	January 13, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]	Safe R	January 4, 2022
Politico[12]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[14]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[15]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[16]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[17]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Results[edit]

2022 Michigan's 5th congressional district election^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tim Walberg (incumbent)	198,020	62.42
	Democratic	Bart Goldberg	110,946	34.97
	Libertarian	Norman Peterson	5,129	1.62
	U.S. Taxpayers	Ezra Scott	3,162	1.00
	Write-in		1	0.00
Total votes			317,258	100.0
	Republican hold

District 6[edit]

2022 Michigan's 6th congressional district election

← 2020 (12th) 2024 →

Nominee Debbie Dingell Whittney Williams Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 241,759 125,167 Percentage 65.89% 34.11%

Results by county Dingell:      50–60%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Debbie Dingell Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Debbie Dingell Democratic

The 6th district is based in southeastern Michigan, taking in Washtenaw County, parts of Wayne and Oakland counties, including the cities of Ann Arbor, Canton, Novi, and Ypsilanti. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell of the 12th congressional district, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2020.^[5] The winner was Debbie Dingell.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Debbie Dingell, incumbent U.S. Representative^[80]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Debbie Dingell (incumbent)	102,859	100.0
Total votes			102,859	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Whittney Williams, auto show product specialist and candidate for Michigan's 11th congressional district in 2020^[86]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Hima Kolanagireddy, businesswoman^[86]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Whittney Williams	30,564	53.7
	Republican	Hima Kolanagireddy	26,371	46.3
Total votes			56,935	100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[9]	Solid D	December 28, 2021
Inside Elections[10]	Solid D	January 13, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]	Safe D	January 4, 2022
Politico[12]	Solid D	April 5, 2022
RCP[13]	Safe D	June 9, 2022
Fox News[14]	Solid D	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[15]	Solid D	July 20, 2022
538[16]	Solid D	June 30, 2022
The Economist[17]	Safe D	September 28, 2022

Results[edit]

2022 Michigan's 6th congressional district election^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Debbie Dingell (incumbent)	241,759	65.89
	Republican	Whittney Williams	125,167	34.11
	Write-in		1	0.0
Total votes			366,927	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 7[edit]

2022 Michigan's 7th congressional district election

← 2020 (8th) 2024 →

Nominee Elissa Slotkin Tom Barrett Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 192,809 172,624 Percentage 51.73% 46.32%

County results Precinct results Results Slotkin:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90% Barrett:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%

U.S. Representative before election Elissa Slotkin Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Elissa Slotkin Democratic

The 7th district is based around the Lansing–East Lansing metropolitan area, but also includes Livingston County and a small part of Oakland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Elissa Slotkin of the 8th congressional district, who was re-elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2020.^[5]

In 2018, total campaign spending for the seat won by Slotkin drew the highest amount for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history.^[87] In October 2022, the Slotkin–Barrett race was the most expensive House race nationwide.^[88] The winner was Elissa Slotkin.^[89]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Elissa Slotkin, incumbent U.S. Representative^[90]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Elissa Slotkin (incumbent)	77,826	100.0
Total votes			77,826	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Tom Barrett, state senator from the 24th district^[98]

Declined[edit]

• John James, businessman, former U.S. Army Captain and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020^[99] (running in Michigan's 10th congressional district)
• Paul Junge, former news anchor for FOX 47 News, former external affairs director at ICE, and nominee for Michigan's 8th congressional district in 2020^[100] (running in Michigan's 8th congressional district)^[101]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tom Barrett	75,491	96.1
	Republican	Jake Hagg (write-in)	3,108	3.9
Total votes			78,599	100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[38]	Tossup	June 15, 2022
Inside Elections[10]	Tilt D	June 15, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]	Lean R (flip)	November 7, 2022
Politico[12]	Tossup	June 14, 2022
RCP[13]	Tossup	June 9, 2022
Fox News[14]	Tossup	July 11, 2022
Decision Desk HQ[15]	Tossup	November 4, 2022
538[16]	Lean D	October 20, 2022
The Economist[17]	Lean D	November 8, 2022

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Elissa Slotkin (D)	Tom Barrett (R)	Undecided [c]	Margin
FiveThirtyEight	April 10 – November 2, 2022	November 3, 2022	47.7%	44.3%	8.0%	Slotkin +3.4

Graphical summary

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Elissa Slotkin (D)	Tom Barrett (R)	Other	Undecided
Mitchell Research	November 2, 2022	402 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	48%	–	4%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.	October 18–20, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	41%	4%[d]	8%
Target Insyght	September 12–14, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	56%	38%	–	6%
Cygnal (R)[C]	June 14–16, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.7%	44%	46%	–	10%
Slingshot Strategies (D)	April 10–15, 2022	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	40%	34%	4%	19%

Results[edit]

2022 Michigan's 7th congressional district election^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Elissa Slotkin (incumbent)	192,809	51.73
	Republican	Tom Barrett	172,624	46.32
	Libertarian	Leah Dailey	7,275	1.95
Total votes			372,708	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 8[edit]

2022 Michigan's 8th congressional district election

← 2020 2024 →

Nominee Dan Kildee Paul Junge Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 178,322 143,850 Percentage 53.10% 42.83%

Results by county Kildee:      40–50%      50–60% Junge:      50–60%

Results by precinct Kildee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Junge:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Tie:      40–50%

U.S. Representative before election Dan Kildee Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Dan Kildee Democratic

The 8th district centers around the Saginaw Bay and includes the cities of Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, and Midland. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee of the 5th congressional district, who was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020.^[5] The winner was Dan Kildee.^[110]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Dan Kildee, incumbent U.S. Representative^[111]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dan Kildee (incumbent)	70,791	100.0
Total votes			70,791	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Paul Junge, former news anchor for FOX 47 News, former external affairs director at ICE, and nominee for Michigan's 8th congressional district in 2020^[100][101]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Candice Miller, retired businesswoman^[115]
• Matthew Seely, businessman^[116]

Failed to qualify[edit]

• Bryan Trouten^[117]

Declined[edit]

• Bill Schuette, former Michigan Attorney General (2011–2019) and Republican nominee for Michigan Governor in 2018^{[118][119][120]}

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Paul Junge	42,363	53.7
	Republican	Matthew Seely	18,658	23.6
	Republican	Candice Miller	17,879	22.7
Total votes			78,900	100.0

Independent and third-party candidates[edit]

Libertarian Party[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

• David Canny

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[38]	Lean D	October 5, 2022
Inside Elections[10]	Lean D	October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]	Lean D	November 7, 2022
Politico[12]	Lean D	October 3, 2022
RCP[13]	Tossup	November 6, 2022
Fox News[14]	Tossup	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[15]	Tossup	July 20, 2022
538[16]	Likely D	June 30, 2022
The Economist[17]	Lean D	October 4, 2022

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Dan Kildee (D)	Paul Junge (R)	Other	Undecided
Cygnal (R)[E]	September 27–30, 2022	335 (LV)	± 5.3%	44%	45%	6%	5%
RMG Research	July 28 – August 4, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	43%	40%	7%	9%

Results[edit]

2022 Michigan's 8th congressional district election^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dan Kildee (incumbent)	178,322	53.10
	Republican	Paul Junge	143,850	42.83
	Working Class	Kathy Goodwin	9,077	2.70
	Libertarian	David Canny	4,580	1.36
Total votes			335,829	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 9[edit]

2022 Michigan's 9th congressional district election

← 2020 (10th) 2024 →

Nominee Lisa McClain Brian Jaye Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 238,300 123,702 Percentage 63.90% 33.17%

Results by county McClain:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election Lisa McClain Republican Elected U.S. Representative Lisa McClain Republican

The 9th district is based in The Thumb region, including Port Huron as well as the northern Detroit exurbs in Oakland and Macomb counties. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Lisa McClain formerly of the 10th congressional district, who was elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020.^[5] The winner was Lisa McClain.^[122]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Lisa McClain, incumbent U.S. Representative^[123]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Michelle Donovan, attorney^[124]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Lisa McClain (incumbent)	97,017	78.7
	Republican	Michelle Donovan	26,215	21.3
Total votes			123,232	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Brian Jaye, attorney^[125]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Brian Jaye	48,802	100.0
Total votes			48,802	100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[9]	Solid R	December 28, 2021
Inside Elections[10]	Solid R	January 13, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]	Safe R	January 4, 2022
Politico[12]	Solid R	April 5, 2022
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2022
Fox News[14]	Solid R	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[15]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538[16]	Solid R	June 30, 2022
The Economist[17]	Safe R	September 28, 2022

Results[edit]

2022 Michigan's 9th congressional district election^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Lisa McClain (incumbent)	238,300	63.90
	Democratic	Brian Jaye	123,702	33.17
	Working Class	Jim Walkowicz	6,571	1.76
	Libertarian	Jacob Kelts	4,349	1.17
Total votes			372,922	100.0
	Republican hold

District 10[edit]

2022 Michigan's 10th congressional district election

2024 →

Nominee John James Carl Marlinga Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 159,202 157,602 Percentage 48.80% 48.31%

County results Precinct results James:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Marlinga:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election None (new seat) Elected U.S. Representative John James Republican

The 10th district is based primarily in southeastern Michigan's Macomb County, taking in Warren and Sterling Heights, as well as a small portion of eastern Oakland County. Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner was John James.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Carl Marlinga, former Macomb County Circuit Court Judge and candidate for U.S. Senate in 1994^[127]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Huwaida Arraf, civil rights attorney^[128]
• Rhonda Powell, former director of Macomb County Health and Community Services^[129]
• Angela Rogensues, Warren City Council member^[130]
• Henry Yanez, Sterling Heights council member and former state representative^[131]

Declined[edit]

• Andy Levin, U.S. Representative (running in Michigan's 11th congressional district)^[128]
• Michael Taylor, mayor of Sterling Heights^[128][132]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Huwaida Arraf	Carl Marlinga	Rhonda Powell	Angela Rogensues	Michael Taylor	Henry Yanez	Undecided
Target Insyght (D)[F]	May 24–27, 2022	300 (LV)	± 5.7%	8%	40%	13%	16%	–	7%	15%
Target Insyght	January 25–27, 2022	~225 (LV)	± 6.5%	3%	33%	–	2%	16%	–	47%

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Carl Marlinga	32,653	47.8
	Democratic	Rhonda Powell	11,396	16.7
	Democratic	Angela Rogensues	9,503	13.9
	Democratic	Huwaida Arraf	8,846	13.0
	Democratic	Henry Yanez	5,891	8.6
Total votes			68,289	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• John James, businessman, Iraq War veteran and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020^[138]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Tony Marcinkewciz^[139]

Withdrawn[edit]

• Eric Esshaki, attorney and nominee for Michigan's 11th congressional district in 2020^[140][141] (endorsed James)

Declined[edit]

• Mike Bishop, former U.S. Representative (2015–2019) (endorsed James)^[142][143]
• Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner, former U.S. Representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2003–2017), and former Michigan Secretary of State (1995–2003) (endorsed James)^[143]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Eric Esshaki	John James	Undecided
Target Insyght	January 25–27, 2022	~230 (LV)	± 6.5%	7%	68%	24%

Results[edit]

Republican primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John James	63,417	86.3
	Republican	Tony Marcinkewciz	10,079	13.7
Total votes			73,496	100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[38]	Likely R (flip)	August 10, 2022
Inside Elections[10]	Lean R (flip)	August 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]	Lean R (flip)	June 15, 2022
Politico[12]	Likely R (flip)	October 18, 2022
RCP[13]	Likely R (flip)	June 9, 2022
Fox News[14]	Likely R (flip)	July 11, 2022
DDHQ[15]	Likely R (flip)	July 20, 2022
538[16]	Likely R (flip)	October 6, 2022
The Economist[17]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2022

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Carl Marlinga (D)	John James (R)	Undecided [e]	Margin
FiveThirtyEight	January 26 – October 18, 2022	October 30, 2022	39.2%	44.7%	16.1%	James +5.5

Graphical summary

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Carl Marlinga (D)	John James (R)	Other	Undecided
Target Insyght (D)[F]	October 16–18, 2022	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	44%	42%	–	14%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.	October 4–6, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	36%	44%	5%[f]	13%
Mitchell Research (R)	August 16–21, 2022	429 (LV)	± 4.7%	38%	47%	–	15%
Target Insyght (D)[F]	August 16–18, 2022	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	47%	45%	–	8%
Target Insyght (D)[F]	May 24–27, 2022	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	44%	40%	–	16%
The Tarrance Group (R)[G]	April 24–26, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	41%	47%	–	12%
Target Insyght (D)[F]	March 2022	– (LV)	–	48%	45%	–	7%
Target Insyght	January 25–27, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	46%	43%	–	11%

Results[edit]

2022 Michigan's 10th congressional district election^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John James	159,202	48.80
	Democratic	Carl Marlinga	157,602	48.31
	Working Class	Andrea Kirby	5,905	1.81
	Libertarian	Mike Saliba	3,524	1.08
	Write-in		4	0.0
Total votes			326,237	100.0
	Republican win (new seat)

District 11[edit]

2022 Michigan's 11th congressional district election

← 2020 (9th) 2024 →

← 2020 (11th)

Nominee Haley Stevens Mark Ambrose Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 224,537 141,642 Percentage 61.32% 38.68%

Results by county Stevens:      60-70%

U.S. Representatives before election Andy Levin (Democratic) Haley Stevens (Democratic) Elected U.S. Representatives Haley Stevens Democratic

The 11th district is based solely in Oakland County and includes the cities of Royal Oak and Pontiac. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Democrat Haley Stevens, who was re-elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2020,^[5] and Democrat Andy Levin of the 9th congressional district, who was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2020.^[5] The winner was Haley Stevens.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Haley Stevens, incumbent U.S. Representative^[148]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Andy Levin, incumbent U.S. Representative^[148]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[b]	Margin of error	Andy Levin	Haley Stevens	Undecided
Target Insyght	July 18–20, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	31%	58%	11%
Lake Research Partners (D)[H]	February 15–20, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	36%	36%	28%
Target Insyght	February 1–3, 2022	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	41%	41%	18%
Impact Research (D)[I]	January 24–27, 2022	519 (LV)	± 4.3%	35%	42%	23%

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Haley Stevens (incumbent)	70,508	59.9
	Democratic	Andy Levin (incumbent)	47,117	40.1
Total votes			117,625	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Mark Ambrose, financial analyst^[181]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Matthew DenOtter, realtor^[139]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mark Ambrose	42,270	70.5