2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →

538 members of the Electoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
Opinion polls
Turnout64.1% (Decrease 2.5 pp)[1]
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote 312 226
States carried 31 + ME-02 19 + DC + NE-02
Popular vote 77,302,580[2] 75,017,613[2]
Percentage 49.8%[2] 48.3%[2]

2024 United States presidential election in California2024 United States presidential election in Oregon2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)2024 United States presidential election in Idaho2024 United States presidential election in Nevada2024 United States presidential election in Utah2024 United States presidential election in Arizona2024 United States presidential election in Montana2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming2024 United States presidential election in Colorado2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska2024 United States presidential election in Kansas2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma2024 United States presidential election in Texas2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota2024 United States presidential election in Iowa2024 United States presidential election in Missouri2024 United States presidential election in Arkansas2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin2024 United States presidential election in Illinois2024 United States presidential election in Michigan2024 United States presidential election in Indiana2024 United States presidential election in Ohio2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi2024 United States presidential election in Alabama2024 United States presidential election in Georgia2024 United States presidential election in Florida2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina2024 United States presidential election in Virginia2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia2024 United States presidential election in Maryland2024 United States presidential election in Delaware2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey2024 United States presidential election in New York2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island2024 United States presidential election in Vermont2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire2024 United States presidential election in Maine2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii2024 United States presidential election in Alaska2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia2024 United States presidential election in Maryland2024 United States presidential election in Delaware2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts2024 United States presidential election in Vermont2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
Presidential election results map. Red denotes U.S. states won by Trump/Vance and blue denotes those won by Harris/Walz. Numbers indicate electoral votes cast by each state and the District of Columbia.[3]

President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 5, 2024. The Republican Party's ticketDonald Trump, who served as the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, a U.S. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent U.S. vice president, and Tim Walz, the incumbent governor of Minnesota.

The incumbent president, Democrat Joe Biden, initially ran for re-election as the party's presumptive nominee,[4] facing little opposition and easily defeating Representative Dean Phillips of Minnesota during the Democratic primaries;[5] however, what was broadly considered a poor debate performance in June 2024 intensified concerns about his age and health, and led to calls within his party for him to leave the race.[6] After initially declining to do so, Biden withdrew on July 21, becoming the first eligible incumbent president to withdraw since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.[7] Biden endorsed Harris,[8] who was voted the party's nominee by the delegates on August 5 and became the first nominee who did not participate in the primaries since Hubert Humphrey, also in 1968. Harris selected Walz as her running mate.[9][10]

Trump, who lost the 2020 presidential election to Biden, ran for reelection to a nonconsecutive second term. He was shot in the ear in an assassination attempt on July 13, 2024. Trump was nominated as the Republican Party's presidential candidate during the 2024 Republican National Convention alongside his running mate, Vance. The Trump campaign ticket supported mass deportation of undocumented immigrants;[a] an isolationist "America First" foreign policy agenda with support of Israel in the Gaza war and skepticism of Ukraine in its war with Russia; anti-transgender policies; and tariffs. The campaign also made false and misleading statements, including claims of electoral fraud in 2020. Trump's political movement was seen by some historians and some former Trump administrators as authoritarian.

Trump won the Electoral College with 312 electoral votes to Harris' 226. Trump won every swing state, including the first win of Nevada by Republicans since 2004. Trump won the national popular vote with a plurality of 49.8%, making him the first Republican to win the popular vote since George W. Bush in 2004. Trump became the first person since Democrat Grover Cleveland in 1892 (and the second person overall) to be elected to a nonconsecutive second term as president of the United States. Analysts attributed the outcome to the 2021–2023 inflation surge, a global anti-incumbent wave, the unpopularity of the Biden administration, and Trump's gains with the working class.

Background

A general election absentee ballot from Fairfax County, Virginia, listing the presidential and vice presidential candidates
The incumbent president, Joe Biden. His term expired at noon on January 20, 2025.

In 2020, incumbent Republican President Donald Trump sought re-election, but was defeated by Democratic challenger Joe Biden. Democratic U.S. Senator Kamala Harris of California was elected vice president in 2020 as Biden's running mate.[12]

Trump is the first president in American history to be impeached twice, and the first to run for president again after impeachment. As Trump was acquitted by the Senate in both cases, he was not barred from seeking reelection to the presidency in 2024.[13]

Hexagonal cartogram of the number of electoral college votes. States with opposite outcomes from 2020 are hatched.

Election interference

Several state courts and officials, including the Colorado Supreme Court,[14] a state Circuit Court in Illinois,[15] and the Secretary of State of Maine,[16] ruled that Trump was ineligible to hold office under Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution for his role in the January 6 Capitol attack, and thus attempted to disqualify him from appearing on the ballot.[17][16] These attempts were unsuccessful. On March 4, 2024, the U.S. Supreme Court unanimously ruled in Trump v. Anderson that states cannot determine eligibility for a national election under Section 3. The Court held that only Congress has the authority to disqualify candidates, or to pass legislation that allows courts to do so.[18]

Donald Trump's false claims of interference

To sow election doubt, Trump escalated use of "rigged election" and "election interference" statements in advance of the 2024 election compared to the previous two elections.[19]

Trump made false claims of voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election and denied the validity of the election results.[20][21] In July 2024, The New York Times reported that "the Republican Party and its conservative allies are engaged in an unprecedented legal campaign targeting the American voting system", by restricting voting for partisan advantage ahead of Election Day and preparing to mount "legally dubious" challenges against the certification process if Trump were to lose.[22]

In the lead-up to the 2024 election, the Republican Party made false claims of massive "noncitizen voting" by immigrants in an attempt to delegitimize the election in the event of a Trump defeat.[23][24][25] The claims were made as part of larger Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024 election and election denial movement.[26] Trump and several other Republicans stated that they would not accept the results of the 2024 election if they believe they are "unfair".[27]

Trump's previous comments suggesting he could "terminate" the Constitution to reverse his election loss,[28][29] his claim that he would only be a dictator on "day one" of his presidency and not afterwards,[30] his promise to use the Justice Department to go after his political enemies,[31] his plan to use the Insurrection Act of 1807 to deploy the military for law enforcement in primarily Democratic cities and states,[32][33] attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election, his baseless predictions of voter fraud in the 2024 election,[34] and his public embrace and celebration of the January 6 United States Capitol attack,[35] raised concerns over the state of democracy in the United States.[36][37][38][39] Trump's political operation said that it planned to deploy more than 100,000 attorneys and volunteers to polling places across battleground states, with an "election integrity hotline" for poll watchers and voters to report alleged voting irregularities.[40]

Interference by foreign nations

Before the election, U.S. officials and former officials stated that foreign interference in the 2024 election was likely. Three major factors cited were "America's deepening domestic political crises, the collapse of controversial attempts to control political speech on social media, and the rise of generative AI".[41] China, Russia, and Iran were identified as mounting influence operations and attempts to interfere with the 2024 election. U.S. intelligence officials described the efforts as part of broader efforts by authoritarian nations to use the internet to erode support for democracy.[42]

China

China was identified as interfering with the 2024 election through propaganda and disinformation campaigns linked to its Spamouflage operation. U.S. intelligence agencies described the effort as not targeting any particular candidate but focusing on issues important to the Chinese government, such as Taiwan, and "undermining confidence in elections, voting, and the U.S. in general".[42] As early as April 1, 2024, The New York Times reported that the Chinese government had created fake pro-Trump accounts on social media "promoting conspiracy theories, stoking domestic divisions and attacking President Biden ahead of the election in November".[43]

Russia

According to disinformation experts and intelligence agencies, Russia spread disinformation ahead of the 2024 election to damage Biden and Democrats, boost candidates supporting isolationism, and undercut support for Ukraine aid and NATO.[44][45] On September 4, 2024, the United States publicly accused Russia of interfering in the 2024 election and announced several steps to combat Russian influence including sanctions, indictments, and seizing of web domains used to spread propaganda and disinformation. U.S. intelligence agencies assessed that Russia preferred Trump to win the election, viewing him as more critical of American support for Ukraine.[46]

Iran

Iran was identified as interfering with the 2024 presidential election through front companies connected to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and hacking attempts against the Trump, Biden, and Harris campaigns starting as early as May 2024.[47] Iran launched propaganda and disinformation campaigns through fake news websites and accounts on social media to tip the election against former president Trump. The New York Times stated the efforts were an attempt at "sowing internal discord and discrediting the democratic system in the United States more broadly in the eyes of the world".[47][48][49]

Voter roll purges

Multiple Republican-led administrations removed voters from their states' voter rolls in the lead up to the election, which critics argued violates the National Voter Registration Act.[50][51][52] In July 2024, 160,000 inactive or infrequent voters were removed from Ohio's voter rolls.[53][54] The Ohio chapters of Common Cause and the League of Women Voters threatened lawsuits against the state over the purge.[55][56]

In August 2024, Governor Glenn Youngkin of Virginia signed an executive order removing 6,303 voters suspected of being non-citizens from Virginia's voter rolls.[57][58] In October 2024, the U.S. Department of Justice sued the Virginia Board of Elections and Virginia commissioner of elections over the voter purge, alleging that it violated the National Voter Registration Act.[59][60] The suit also found a number of alleged non-citizens purged were actually citizens.[60][61] District judge Patricia Tolliver Giles ruled that the removal was illegal, ordering the state to stop purging voter rolls and to restore the voter registration of more than 1,600 voters who had been removed.[62][61] The 4th Circuit Court of Appeals then upheld the order.[63][64] The administration filed an emergency appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court, which sided with Virginia in a 6–3 decision along ideological lines, allowing the state to continue purging voter rolls.[64][65]

In August 2024, Alabama Secretary of State Wes Allen announced a process for purging 3,251 registered Alabama voters and referred them to the state attorney general's office for criminal prosecution.[51][66] In September 2024, the Department of Justice sued Alabama for violating the National Voter Registration Act.[67][68] In October 2024, district judge Anna Manasco ruled in favor of the Department of Justice, ordering the state to restore the voter registrations.[69][70] Alabama secretary of state's chief of staff Clay Helms testified that 2,000 of the purged voters were legally registered citizens.[70]

Trump was the subject of various criminal and civil legal proceedings before and during his 2024 re-election campaign. Specifically, Trump was found liable in a civil proceeding for financial fraud in 2023,[71] was found liable for both sexual abuse and defamation in 2023, and was found liable for defamation in a related civil proceeding in 2024. In 2024, Trump was criminally convicted of 34 felonies related to falsifying business records.[72] Trump and other Republicans made numerous false and misleading statements regarding Trump's various legal proceedings, including false claims that they were "rigged" or consisted of "election interference" orchestrated by Biden and the Democratic Party.[73][19]

Classified intelligence material found inside Mar-a-Lago in 2022

On May 30, 2024, Trump was found guilty by a jury of all 34 felony counts in The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump. The jury found that Trump falsified business records relating to hush money payments made to pornographic film star Stormy Daniels to ensure her silence about a sexual encounter between them. This conviction made Trump the first former U.S. president to be convicted of a crime.[74] On January 10, 2025, Trump was given a no-penalty sentence known as an unconditional discharge.[75]

Trump faced other criminal charges as well. In United States of America v. Donald J. Trump, Trump faced four criminal counts for his alleged role in attempting to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election and involvement in the January 6 United States Capitol attack; the case was dismissed following Trump's re-election in November 2024.[76] In The State of Georgia v. Donald J. Trump, et al., Trump was charged with eight criminal counts for his alleged attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia. District Attorney Fani Willis was disqualified from prosecuting the case; Willis has appealed that decision.[77] In United States of America v. Donald J. Trump, Waltine Nauta, and Carlos De Oliveira, Trump faced 40 criminal counts relating to his hoarding of classified documents and alleged obstruction of efforts to retrieve them;[78] the case was dismissed in July 2024.[79]

On May 9, 2023, in E. Jean Carroll v. Donald J. Trump, an anonymous jury found Trump civilly liable[80] for sexual abuse and defamation, and ordered him to pay Carroll $5 million in damages.[81] In a related case brought by Carroll against Trump, a jury awarded Carroll $83.3 million.[82] As of April 2025, appeals were ongoing in both cases.[83]

In September 2023, Trump was found civilly liable for financial fraud in New York v. Trump.[71] In February 2024, he was ordered to pay a $354.8 million fine, together with approximately $100 million in interest.[84] As of January 29, 2025, an appeal was ongoing.[85]

Trump made efforts to delay his trials until after the 2024 election.[86][87] On July 1, 2024, the Supreme Court delivered a 6–3 decision in Trump v. United States, ruling that Trump had absolute immunity for acts he committed as president within his core constitutional purview, at least presumptive immunity for official acts within the outer perimeter of his official responsibility, and no immunity for unofficial acts.[88][89][90]

Age and health concerns

Joe Biden

Mass media, lawmakers, and Donald Trump raised concerns about President Biden's age, including his cognitive state, during and after the 2020 United States presidential election.[91] According to a February 2024 poll, Biden's age and health were major or moderate concerns for 86% of voters generally,[91] up from 76% in 2020.[92] According to another February 2024 poll, most of those who voted for Biden in 2020 believed he was too old to be an effective president; The New York Times noted that these concerns "cut across generations, gender, race and education".[93]

Concerns about Biden's age and health increased after a poor performance by Biden during a debate against Trump in June 2024. That performance led a number of commentators and Democratic lawmakers to call for Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential race.[94] In July 2024, Biden withdrew his candidacy while stating that he would continue serving as president until the conclusion of his term.[95]

Donald Trump

In the summer before the election, polling showed at least half of Americans thought that Trump, who was 78 years old, was too old to serve a second term, with 80% unsure he would be able to finish out a second term.[96] Numerous public figures, media sources, and mental health professionals speculated that Trump may have some form of dementia, which runs in his family.[97] Experts for the science publication STAT who analyzed changes in Trump's speeches between 2015 and 2024 noted shorter sentences, more tangents, more repetition, and more confusion of words and phrases. Doctors suggested these changes could relate to Trump's moods or could indicate the beginning of Alzheimer's. One expert noted an increase in expressions of all-or-nothing thinking by Trump. A sharp rise in all-or-nothing thinking is also linked to cognitive decline.[98] The New York Times reported that Trump's 2024 speeches had grown "darker, harsher, longer, angrier, less focused, more profane and increasingly fixated on the past", and that experts considered this increase in tangential speech and behavioral disinhibition as a possible consequence of advancing age and cognitive decline.[99] Trump was also criticized for his lack of transparency around his medical records and health.[100][97]

Violent rhetoric

On July 14, Biden gave an address condemning political violence, including the attempted assassination of Trump, arguing for the need to "lower the temperature" in American politics.

Several scholars, lawmakers, intelligence agencies, and the members of the public expressed concerns about political violence surrounding the 2024 election.[101][102] The fears came amidst increasing threats and acts of physical violence targeting public officials and election workers at all levels of government.[103][104] Trump was identified as a key figure in increasing political violence in the United States both for and against him.[105][106][107] Political violence was at its highest since the 1970s, and the most recent violence came from right-wing assailants.[108][109] Trump increasingly embraced far-right extremism, conspiracy theories such as Q-Anon, and far-right militia movements to a greater extent than any modern American president.[110][111] Trump also espoused dehumanizing, combative, and violent rhetoric,[112] and promised retribution against his political enemies.[113] Trump played down but refused to rule out violence following the 2024 election, stating "it depends".[114] Trump also suggested using the military against "the enemy from within" on Election Day that he described as "radical left lunatics", Democratic politicians, and those opposed to his candidacy.[115][116]

Nominations

Republican Party

Results of the 2024 Republican presidential primaries. Trump (blue) won everything but Vermont and Washington D.C., which went to Nikki Haley (orange).

Trump filed and announced his candidacy a week following the 2022 midterm elections.[117] Trump was considered an early frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination.[118] He had announced in March 2022 that his former vice president Mike Pence would not be his running mate.[119]

Trump faced opposition in the primaries. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis was initially viewed as the main challenger to Trump for the Republican nomination, having raised more campaign funds in the first half of 2022 and posting more favorable polling numbers than Trump by the end of 2022.[120][121][122] On May 24, 2023, DeSantis announced his candidacy on Twitter in an online conversation with Twitter CEO Elon Musk. At the end of July 2023, FiveThirtyEight's national polling average of the Republican primaries had Trump at 52 percent, and DeSantis at 15.[123]

Following the Iowa caucuses, in which Trump posted a landslide victory, DeSantis and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump, leaving the former president and Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor who served in Trump's cabinet, as the only remaining major candidates.[124][125] Trump continued to win all four early voting contests while Haley's campaign struggled to gain momentum.[126] On March 6, 2024, the day after winning only one primary out of fifteen on Super Tuesday, Haley suspended her campaign.[127][128] On March 12, 2024, Trump officially became the presumptive Republican presidential nominee.[129] Trump was injured in an assassination attempt on July 13, 2024, when a bullet grazed his ear.[130] This was the first time a president or major party presidential candidate was injured in an assassination attempt since Ronald Reagan in 1981.[131] On July 15, 2024, the first day of the Republican National Convention, Trump officially announced that Senator JD Vance of Ohio would be his running mate.[132] On July 18, 2024, for the third consecutive time, Trump accepted the nomination from the Republican National Convention to become the Republican presidential nominee.[133]

Nominees

Republican Party (United States)
Republican Party (United States)
2024 Republican Party ticket
Donald Trump JD Vance
for President for Vice President
45th
President of the United States
(2017–2021)
U.S. Senator
from Ohio
(2023–2025)
Campaign

Withdrawn candidates

Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the primaries
Nikki Haley Ron DeSantis Asa Hutchinson Vivek Ramaswamy Chris Christie Doug Burgum
Ambassador to the United Nations
(2017–2018)
46th
Governor of Florida
(2019–present)
46th
Governor of Arkansas
(2015–2023)
CEO of Roivant Sciences
(2014–2023)
55th
Governor of New Jersey
(2010–2018)
33rd
Governor of North Dakota
(2016–2024)
Campaign Campaign Campaign Campaign Campaign Campaign
W: March 6
4,381,799 votes
W: Jan 23
353,615 votes
W: Jan 16
22,044 votes
W: Jan 15
96,954 votes
W: Jan 10
139,541 votes
W: December 4, 2023
502 votes
[134][135] [136][137][138] [139][140][141] [142][143] [144][145] [146][147]
Tim Scott Mike Pence Larry Elder Perry Johnson Will Hurd Francis Suarez
U.S.
Senator from South Carolina
(2013–present)
48th
Vice President of
the United States
(2017–2021)
Host of The Larry Elder Show
(1993–2022)
Founder of Perry Johnson Registrars, Inc.
(1994–present)
U.S.
Representative
from TX-23
(2015–2021)
Mayor of
Miami
(2017–present)
Campaign Campaign Campaign Campaign Campaign Campaign
W: November 12, 2023
1,598 votes
W: October 28, 2023
404 votes
W: October 23, 2023
0 votes
W: October 20, 2023
4,051 votes
W: October 9, 2023
0 votes
W: August 23, 2023

0 votes

[148][149] [150][151] [152][153] [154][155] [156][157] [158][159]

Democratic Party

Results of the 2024 Democratic presidential primaries. Biden (blue) won everything but American Samoa, which went to Jason Palmer (purple).

On April 25, 2023, President Biden officially announced his bid for re-election, confirming that Vice President Harris would remain his running mate.[160][161]

Concerns about Biden's age were prominent, given that he was the oldest person to assume the office at age 78, which would make him 82 at the end of his first term and 86 at the end of a potential second term.[162] An April 2023 poll indicated that 70 percent of Americans, including 51 percent of Democrats, believed Biden should not seek a second term, with nearly half citing his age as the reason. Biden's approval rating stood at 41 percent, with 55 percent disapproving.[163] Speculation also arose that Biden might face a primary challenge from the Democratic Party's progressive faction;[164][165] however, after Democrats outperformed expectations in the 2022 midterm elections, many believed Biden's chances of securing the party's nomination had increased.[166] On July 28, 2022, Representative Dean Phillips of Minnesota became the first incumbent Democratic member of Congress to say President Biden should not run for re-election and called for "generational change" pointing to Biden's age.[167][168]

Despite a handful of primary challengers, including Representative Dean Phillips, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Marianne Williamson, and Jason Palmer, Biden easily became the presumptive nominee of the party on March 12, 2024.[169][170][171] Palmer, who won the American Samoa caucuses, became the first candidate to win a contested primary against an incumbent president since Ted Kennedy in 1980.[172] Biden also faced significant opposition from uncommitted voters and the Uncommitted National Movement in their protest vote movement against Biden due to his support for Israel during the Gaza war, which collectively won 36 delegates.[173]

On July 24, Biden addressed the nation from the Oval Office on his decision three days earlier to withdraw from the race.

Following a "disastrous" June 2024 debate performance against Trump that "inflamed age concerns",[174] Biden ultimately withdrew from the race on July 21, 2024, and immediately endorsed Kamala Harris as his successor.[95] Harris quickly announced her own campaign and secured enough delegate endorsements by July 22 to replace Biden as the presumptive nominee of the party.[175] Biden's withdrawal made him the first eligible incumbent president since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968 not to seek re-election, and the first to withdraw after securing enough delegates to win the nomination.[176] Harris is the first nominee who did not participate in the presidential primaries since Vice President Hubert Humphrey, also in 1968, and the first since the modern Democratic Party primary procedure was created in 1972 (prior to which most states did not hold primary elections).[177]

On August 5, 2024, after five days of online balloting, Democratic National Convention delegates voted to make Harris the party's 2024 presidential nominee.[178] She selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate the following day[179] and accepted the party's nomination on August 22.[180]

Nominees

Democratic Party (United States)
Democratic Party (United States)
2024 Democratic Party ticket
Kamala Harris Tim Walz
for President for Vice President
49th
Vice President of the United States
(2021–2025)
41st
Governor of Minnesota
(2019–present)
Campaign

Withdrawn candidates

Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the primaries
Joe Biden Marianne Williamson Jason Palmer Dean Phillips Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
46th
President of the United States (2021–2025)
Author Venture capitalist U.S.
Representative from
MN-03
(2019–2025)
Environmental lawyer
Campaign Campaign Campaign Campaign Campaign
W: July 21
14,465,519 votes
W: June 11
473,761 votes
W: May 15
20,975 votes
W: March 6
529,664 votes
W: October 9, 2023
Running as an Independent
[181] [182] [183] [184] [185]

Third-party and independent candidates

A number of independent candidates announced presidential runs, most notably Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West. Several third parties, including the Libertarian Party, the Green Party, the Party for Socialism and Liberation, the Constitution Party, and the American Solidarity Party also announced presidential nominees.[186] Kennedy dropped out of the race in August 2024, although he remained on the ballot in many states. The No Labels organization abandoned its efforts to run a centrist candidate in April 2024.[187]

With majority ballot access

Libertarian Party

Chase Oliver was chosen by the Libertarian Party as its presidential nominee on May 26, 2024, at the 2024 Libertarian National Convention. Oliver was the party's nominee in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia.[188] Oliver achieved ballot access in 47 states, and was eligible to receive write-in votes in the District of Columbia, Illinois, New York, and Tennessee.[189][190]

2024 Libertarian Party ticket
Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat
for President for Vice President
Sales account executive
from Georgia
Economist
from Virginia
Green Party

The party's nominee in 2012 and 2016, Stein is a physician and a former member of the Lexington Town Meeting. On August 16, Stein selected academic Butch Ware as her running mate.[191] Stein achieved ballot access in 38 states, and was eligible to receive write-in votes in seven states. She was not eligible to receive write-in votes in the remaining states or the District of Columbia.[189][192][190]

2024 Green Party ticket
Jill Stein Butch Ware
for President for Vice President
Physician
from Massachusetts
Academic
from California

With partial ballot access

These third-party candidates had ballot access in some states, but not enough to get 270 votes needed to win the presidency, without running a write-in campaign.

Independent candidates

The following notable individual(s) ran independently for president.

Withdrawn candidates

The following notable individual(s) announced and then suspended their campaigns before the election:

Campaign issues

Campaign themes

Harris campaign

Harris framed her campaign as "a choice between freedom and chaos" and based it around the ideals of "freedom" and "the future".[209][210] The Harris campaign sought to highlight her experience as an attorney general and a prosecutor to "prosecute the case" against Trump by pointing out his 34 felony convictions and the impacts of the overturning of Roe v. Wade.[211][212] Harris had taken liberal positions on a number of issues in her bid for the 2020 Democratic nomination; in 2024, she shifted several of those positions toward the political center and embraced many of Biden's domestic policy stances.[213] Harris focused her economic proposals on the cost of groceries, housing and healthcare.[214]

Trump campaign

A central campaign theme for Trump's second presidential bid was "retribution".[215][216] Trump framed the 2024 election as "the final battle", and openly promised to leverage the power of the presidency for political reprisals.[217] Trump heavily ran on immigration as a central campaign focus. Trump's campaign focused on dark and apocalyptic rhetoric about the state of the country and predicting doom if he did not win.[218][219][220] The Associated Press stated that "Trump's rallies take on the symbols, rhetoric and agenda of Christian nationalism."[221] During his 2024 presidential campaign, Trump made numerous false and misleading statements.[222][223][224] Trump has been described as using the "big lie"[225] and firehose of falsehood[226] propaganda techniques.

Abortion

Abortion-rights protesters in Washington, D.C. in May 2022, as part of the Bans Off Our Bodies protest following the leaked draft opinion overturning Roe v. Wade
Trump speaking at the 2020 March for Life in Washington, D.C.

Abortion access was a key topic during the campaign;[227][228] it was on the ballot in up to ten states in 2024, including the swing states of Arizona and Nevada.[229] Some pundits argued abortion-rights referendums could help Harris in November.[230][231][232] Democrats predominantly advocate for abortion access as a right,[233] while Republicans generally favor significantly restricting the legality of abortion.[234] Since becoming the presumptive nominee, Harris indicated her support for passing legislation which would restore the federal abortion right protections previously guaranteed by Roe.[235][236] She argued Trump would let his anti-abortion allies implement Project 2025 proposals to restrict abortion and contraception throughout the United States.[237]

Trump claimed credit for overturning Roe but criticized Republicans pushing for total abortion bans.[238][239] Trump said he would leave the issue of abortion for the states to decide but would allow red states to monitor women's pregnancies and prosecute them if they have an abortion.[240] In his home state of Florida, Trump announced he would vote "No" on Amendment 4, an abortion rights referendum, preserving the six-week ban.[241] The announcement came one day after he initially criticized the six-week ban for being "too short" and said he would vote to lengthen it.[242] Trump repeated a false claim that Democrats support abortions after birth and "executing" babies.[243][244]

Border security and immigration

Harris as Attorney General of California at the border in 2011 to discuss strategies to combat transnational gang crime

Border security and immigration were among the top issues concerning potential voters in the election.[245][246] Polling showed that most Americans want to reduce immigration,[247] and that a substantial minority of white Republicans were concerned about White demographic decline.[248] In 2023 and early 2024, a surge of migrants entering through the border with Mexico occurred.[249] By June 2024, illegal crossings reached a three-year low following four consecutive monthly drops, which senior officials attributed to increased enforcement between the United States and Mexico, the weather, and Biden's executive order (A Proclamation on Securing the Border) increasing asylum restrictions.[250]

Harris promised to fight for "strong border security" coupled with an earned pathway to citizenship. Harris highlighted her work in combating transnational gangs, drug cartels, and human traffickers while attorney general.[251] As vice president, Harris announced in 2023 that she had garnered pledges of US$950 million from private companies to aid Central American communities to address the causes of mass migration, such as poverty.[236] Harris stated she believes the immigration system is "broken" and needs to be fixed, and she said most Americans believe this.[236] Harris also advocated for stricter asylum rules than President Biden.[252] Harris supported increasing the number of U.S. Border Patrol agents and accused Trump of being unserious on border security.[253] As vice president, Harris also supported a bipartisan bill that would have funded additional border agents and closed the border if too crowded; the bill was rejected by Trump. Trump called on House and Senate Republicans to kill the bill arguing it would hurt his and Republican's reelection campaigns and deny them the ability to run on immigration as a campaign issue.[254][255][256][257][258][259] Harris criticized Trump for his opposition to the bill on the campaign trail,[251] and promised to sign the bill into law as president.[260]

Trump pledged to finish the wall on the southern border if elected.

Trump stated that if he were elected, he would increase deportations, send the U.S. military to the border, expand U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement detentions through workplace raids,[261] deputize local law enforcement to handle border security, increase U.S. Customs and Border Patrol funding, as well as finish building the wall on the southern border.[262] Trump has said he will deport both legal and illegal immigrants.[11][263] The New York Times reported that Trump was considering "an extreme expansion of his first-term crackdown on immigration", such as "preparing to round up undocumented people already in the United States on a vast scale and detain them in sprawling camps while they wait to be expelled".[261] Trump stated his intention to deport 11 million people through the construction of detention camps and deploy the military,[240] relying on presidential wartime powers under the 18th-century Alien Enemies Act.[264] Trump made false claims of a "migrant crime wave" that are not supported by data, and provided no evidence to back up his claims.[265][266]

In regards to his anti-immigrant nativism,[267] Trump's tone grew harsher from his previous time as president,[261] and used fearmongering,[268][269] racial stereotypes,[267] and more dehumanizing rhetoric when referring to illegal immigrants. Trump repeatedly called some immigrants subhuman, stating they are "not human", "not people", and "animals",[270][271][272] who will "rape, pillage, thieve, plunder and kill" American citizens,[11] that they are "stone-cold killers", "monsters", "vile animals", "savages", and "predators" that will "walk into your kitchen, they'll cut your throat",[273][274][11][266] and "grab young girls and slice them up right in front of their parents".[11] Other rhetoric includes false statements that foreign leaders are deliberately emptying insane asylums to send "prisoners, murderers, drug dealers, mental patients, terrorists" across the southern border as migrants,[275] that they are "building an army" of "fighting age" men to attack Americans "from within",[276] and are the "enemy from within" who are ruining the "fabric" of the country.[264] Since fall 2023,[277] Trump claimed that immigrants are "poisoning the blood of our country", which drew comparisons to racial hygiene rhetoric used by White supremacists and Adolf Hitler.[278][279][277][280] In the 20 rallies that occurred after Trump's debate with Harris, Politico cited experts who found that Trump's rhetoric strongly echoed authoritarian and Nazi ideology; Trump made claims that immigrants are genetically predisposed to commit crimes and have "bad genes".[264][281]

Climate change

Climate change and energy policy played a role in the 2024 presidential campaign. In 2023, the United States saw a record in crude oil production with over 13.2 million barrels of crude per day, beating the 13 million barrels per day produced at the peak of Trump's presidency.[282] The United States also dealt with supply shocks caused by the 2021–2024 global energy crisis due to the COVID-19 pandemic and Russian invasion of Ukraine.[283] An advocate for environmental justice to address the impact of climate change on lower-income areas and people of color, Harris supported Biden's climate legislation.[236] In 2022, Harris helped pass the Inflation Reduction Act,[284] the largest investment in addressing climate change and clean energy in American history,[285] putting the United States on track to meet emissions reduction targets by 50–52% below 2005 levels by 2030.[286] Harris's campaign stated that she would not support a ban on fracking.[213]

Trump ridiculed the idea of man-made climate change,[287][288][289] and repeatedly referred to his energy policy under the mantra "drill, baby, drill".[290] Trump said he would increase oil drilling on public lands and offer tax breaks to oil, gas, and coal producers, and stated his goal for the United States to have the lowest cost of electricity and energy of any country in the world.[291] Trump also promised to roll back electric vehicle initiatives, proposed once again the United States withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, and rescind several environmental regulations.[291][292] Trump stated his intention to roll back parts of the Inflation Reduction Act.[293] The implementation of Trump's plans would add around 4 billion tons of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere by 2030, also having effects on the international level. If the policies do not change further, it would add 15 billion tons by 2040 and 27 billion by 2050. Although the exact calculation is difficult, researchers stated: "Regardless of the precise impact, a second Trump term that successfully dismantles Biden's climate legacy would likely end any global hopes of keeping global warming below 1.5C."[294]

Democracy

The election was the first presidential election following Trump's attempts to overturn the 2020 election and the January 6 United States Capitol attack. It also came amidst Trump's federal indictment for attempting to overturn the 2020 election and involvement in the attack and racketeering charges for attempting to overturn Biden's victory in Georgia.

Polling before the election indicated profound dissatisfaction with the state of American democracy.[295][296][297] According to an October 25 ABC/Ipsos poll, 49% of Americans saw Trump as a fascist, described as "a political extremist who seeks to act as a dictator, disregards individual rights and threatens or uses force against their opponents". Meanwhile, only 22% saw Harris as a fascist by this definition.[298] Some Republicans were concerned that Trump's former impeachment and four criminal indictments were attempts to influence the election and keep him from office;[299] however, there is no evidence that Trump's criminal trials were "election interference" orchestrated by Biden and the Democratic Party,[19][73] and Trump also continued to repeat false claims that the 2020 election was rigged and stolen from him.[300]

Trump's 2024 presidential campaign was criticized by legal experts, historians, and political scientists for making increasingly dehumanizing, violent, and authoritarian statements.[301][302][303] Trump's platform called for the vast expansion of presidential powers and the executive branch over every part of the federal government.[304] Trump called for stripping employment protections for thousands of career civil service employees (a provision known as Schedule F appointment that had been adopted by Trump at the end of 2020) and replacing them with political loyalists if deemed an "obstacle to his agenda" within federal agencies, the United States Intelligence Community, State Department, and Department of Defense.[305] Trump repeatedly stated his intention to have the Justice Department investigate and arrest his domestic political rivals, judges, prosecutors, and witnesses involved in his criminal trials.[113][306][307] Calling the January 6, 2021, Capitol attack a "day of love", Trump promised to pardon those charged for their involvement and called them "hostages" and "great, great patriots".[308][309][310][311] Trump played down the possibility of violence if he were to lose the 2024 election, but did not rule it out altogether.[114]

Trump's 2024 campaign rhetoric has been described as fascist.[312][313][314] Trump said his political opponents are a greater threat to the United States than countries such as Russia, China, and North Korea.[315][316] He urged that the U.S. Armed Forces be deployed on American soil to fight "the enemy from within", which—according to Trump—included "radical left lunatics" and Democratic politicians such as Adam Schiff.[317] Trump repeatedly voiced support for outlawing political dissent and criticism he considers misleading or challenges his claims to power.[318][319] Trump previously tried to have his political rivals prosecuted during his first term.[320]

Harris was tasked by Biden with protecting democracy through voting rights legislation through her work on the For the People Act. Harris supported efforts to defend election workers and counter Republican efforts to restrict voting following the 2020 presidential election.[236] Harris also stated her intent to pass the Freedom to Vote Act and John Lewis Rights Voting Rights Advancement Act if elected.[321]

Economic issues

Post-COVID inflation spike in the United States, with the gray column indicating the COVID-19 recession

Voters consistently cited the economy as their top issue in the 2024 election.[322] Following the COVID-19 pandemic, a global surge in inflation ensued that raised prices on many goods, although the U.S. inflation rate had declined significantly during 2023 and 2024.[323][324][325] The New York Times reported that both candidates "embraced a vision of a powerful federal government, using its muscle to intervene in markets in pursuit of a stronger and more prosperous economy".[326] The Wall Street Journal reported that economists found Trump's proposed policies created a greater risk of stoking inflation and generating higher budget deficits, relative to the Harris plan.[327] Twenty-three Nobel Prize-winning economists signed a letter characterizing the Harris economic plan as "vastly superior" to the Trump plan.[328] Trump's designated government efficiency leader Elon Musk said in October that he expected Trump's plan would involve more than $2 trillion in federal spending cuts and would cause "some temporary hardship."[329][330] Harris ran on a pro-union platform.[331] She promoted the passage of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, funding for small business, and previously supported an act as senator to provide a $6,000 tax credit for middle and low-income families.[236] Harris promised to address price gouging, bring down costs, ban hidden fees and late charges from financial institutions, limit "unfair" rent increases and cap prescription drug costs, which she said would "lower costs and save many middle-class families thousands of dollars a year".[332]

The New York Times described Harris's economic policy as embracing "the idea that the federal government must act aggressively to foster competition and correct distortions in private markets". Harris proposed raising taxes on corporations and high-earners to fund services for the lower and middle classes and reduce the deficit.[326] Harris stated she supported increasing the top tier capital gains tax rate to 28%, up from 20% and lower than Biden's proposed 39.6%. Harris stated her support for a Billionaire Minimum Income Tax, increasing the tax on stock buybacks to 4%, and a ten-fold tax reduction for small business ranging from $5,000 to $50,000 in relief.[333] Harris also supported efforts to create a tax on unrealized gains for those with more than a $100 million in net worth if they do not pay a minimum 25% tax rate on their income inclusive of unrealized gains so long as 80% of said wealth is in tradeable assets. The plan would impact a small percentage of the wealthy in the United States, and Axios reported most tech founders and investors would be spared.[334] Harris also announced support for restoring the corporate tax rate to 28% among several other tax proposals to raise taxes and close loopholes for corporations and the wealthy that would bring in $5 trillion in additional revenue over 10 years.[335] Harris proposed tax breaks to companies delivering economic benefit, such as manufacturing technologies that mitigate climate change and building affordable housing, and proposed a ban on corporate price gouging to "help the food industry become more competitive".[326] Harris also expressed support for student debt relief,[336] and said she supported raising the minimum wage.[337]

In response to the housing crisis in the United States, Harris said she would increase home construction to reduce housing costs, arguing that it negatively impacts the economy and hurts working-class families. Harris proposed directing $40 billion to construction companies to build starter homes, and promised to send $25,000 in down-payment assistance to every first time home buyer.[326] Harris said she would urge Congress to enforce fair housing laws and pass a bill to bar property owners from using services that "coordinate" rents through the passage of the Preventing the Algorithmic Facilitation of Rental Housing Cartels Act, and also call on Congress to pass the Stop Predatory Investing Act by removing tax benefits to Wall Street firms that buy up large numbers of single-family homes.[338][339] Trump proposed further individual and corporate tax cuts beyond the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.[340] Trump argued that keeping taxes low for the wealthy increases job creation,[341] and that these policies coupled with a crackdown in illegal immigration and reduction in inflation would help the middle class.[336] Trump said he would reduce regulation of business through the creation of an efficiency commission led by Musk,[342] along with reducing environmental regulation. By October 2024, Musk was Trump's second-largest individual campaign donor.[343] Trump said deporting millions of immigrants would bring housing prices down, although most economists argue it could raise prices by removing construction workers who use less real estate.[326][344] Trump and Harris support not taxing tips for at least hospitality and service workers.[337][345] Trump suggested that he would abolish the federal income tax and replace it with tariffs. In June 2024, Trump discussed the idea of eliminating the income tax in a private meeting with Republican politicians.[346] In October 2024, Trump suggested that he would scrap the income tax if he wins, pointing out that tariffs were the main sources of revenue in the 19th century.[347]

Trump's stated trade policy involves the United States decoupling from the global economy and having the country become more self-contained and exerting its power through individual trade dealings. This would be attempted largely through a universal baseline tariff,[348] set from 10% to 20% on all imports,[349][350] with increased penalties if trade partners manipulate their currency or engage in unfair trade practices.[291] Trump called for 100% tariffs on cars made outside the United States and a minimum 60% tariff on Chinese goods.[349] Trump stated his plans to urge Congress to pass a Trump Reciprocal Trade Act to bestow presidential authority to impose a reciprocal tariff on any country that imposed one on the United States.[291] The Washington Post reported in January 2024 that Trump was preparing for a massive trade war.[351] Trump's trade policies were described as protectionist,[352] neo-mercantilist, or autarkist,[348][353] and increasing inflation became a more common critique of Trump's economic plans.[354][355][356][357] In June 2024, 16 Nobel Prize in Economics laureates signed an open letter arguing that Trump's fiscal and trade policies coupled with efforts to limit the Federal Reserve's independence would reignite inflation in the United States.[358][359][360] Moody's,[361] as well as most economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal in July 2024, predicted that inflation would be worse under Trump than Biden, a result due in part to tariffs, a crack down on illegal immigration, and larger deficits.[362] Trump incorrectly insisted foreign exporters pay tariffs imposed by the U.S. government; American importers pay tariffs on goods upon arrival at U.S. ports, meaning tariffs are taxes that raise prices for imported products Americans buy.[363][364][365] One non-partisan analysis estimated the proposed tariffs would cost $1,700 per year for the average household.[365] The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget found that Trump's plans would grow the national debt at roughly twice the rate of Harris' plan,[366] while the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy found Trump's plan would only benefit the top 5% of earners.[367]

Education

Trump pledged to terminate the U.S. Department of Education,[291][368][369] claiming it has been infiltrated by "radical zealots and Marxists".[370] At the American Federation of Teachers national convention, Harris attacked recent efforts to ban books in school libraries.[371] She also previously called for raising teachers' wages.[372]

Healthcare issues

Unlike previous elections, healthcare reform played a much more minor role in the 2024 presidential election.[373] Harris stated that she no longer supported a single-payer healthcare system as she had in 2020.[374] Instead, she said she intended to protect and expand items legislated during the Obama and Biden administrations. She said she would "maintain and grow" the Affordable Care Act, while Trump said that he would replace it with his own healthcare plan.[375] Harris also supported limiting yearly out-of-pocket drug costs for seniors, and expanding the $35 cap on insulin for seniors on Medicare to younger individuals in the program as well.[284] Generally, both candidates supported using the government to rein in prescription drug costs.[376] Trump suggested he was open to cutting entitlement programs, such as Social Security and Medicare, part of an effort to "[cut] waste" as described by his campaign. During his first term, several budget proposals did suggest cuts to the programs.[377][378] Additionally, Vance and Speaker of the House Mike Johnson suggested cuts to the ACA, including around pre-existing conditions, were part of Trump's plan.[379] After Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump, Kennedy advocated for his "Make America Healthy Again" agenda, pledging to combat the upward trend in chronic disease patients, with Trump saying Kennedy would "go wild" regarding policy on food and medicines.[380][381]

Foreign policy

Joe Biden signing Executive Order 14065 in February 2022 in response to Russia's imminent invasion of Ukraine. The United States has given billions worth of military aid to Ukraine following the Russian invasion of the country in 2022.

The Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Gaza war, and Chinese expansionism were some of the main foreign policy issues of the election. Harris signaled she would generally follow Biden's foreign policy on NATO and Ukraine, supporting both in the aftermath of the Russian invasion.[236][382] A supporter of the two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict,[236][383] Harris was expected to continue Biden's approach;[384] she was seen as tougher on Israel and more sympathetic to Palestinians than Biden or Trump.[382] Harris advocated for "de-risking" from China, a policy that encourages reducing Western economic dependence on China.[385] Harris was expected to continue deepening American alliances in Asia and the Pacific with the intention of curbing China's rising power both economically and militarily.[386]

Trump's 2024 campaign promoted an isolationist, "America First" foreign policy.[387][388] Trump said that America's allies "treat us actually worse than our so-called enemies", and added: "We protect them and then they screw us on trade." He also vowed to impose tariffs on trade partners; economists said this could spark trade wars.[389] He promised to "fundamentally reevaluate" NATO, shifting the country's defense spending from Europe towards Asia.[291] Although NATO members are obliged to defend any other member who is attacked, Trump said he would encourage Russia to "do whatever the hell they want" to NATO allies that did not spend enough on defense.[390] NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg responded: "Any suggestion that allies will not defend each other undermines all of our security."[391] Trump vowed that even before he was inaugurated,[291] he would negotiate an end to the Russo-Ukrainian War in one day,[387] He promised to quickly cut the amount of military and financial aid to Ukraine,[392] and make Europeans reimburse the United States the cost of rebuilding its old stockpiles;[291] however, most of the money for Ukraine actually goes to American factories that make weapons and military equipment.[393][394][395] Trump previously said he might recognize Russia's illegal annexation of Crimea,[396] and suggested the 2022 invasion could have been prevented by Ukraine giving up parts of its own country to Russia.[387] Trump was seen as more pro-Israel and less sympathetic to Palestine than Biden or Harris.[397] Trump promised a tougher stance against China,[351] and at the same time questioned whether the United States should defend Taiwan.[398] Trump suggested withdrawing troops from South Korea if it does not pay more to support American troops there.[240]

Gaza war views

Demonstrators at the March on Washington for Gaza in January 2024

Polling indicated that the majority of voters support a ceasefire and American mediation in the Gaza war.[399] According to a YouGov poll in March 2024, 52% of Americans supported stopping weapons shipments to Israel, coming largely from Americans who voted for Biden in 2020 (62% support) and people who did not vote in 2020 (60%). Republicans opposed halting weapons shipments by 25 points.[400] Republicans generally supported arms to Israel, while Democrats were divided on the issue.[401]

Harris was expected to largely continue Biden's approach to the Israeli–Palestinian conflict,[384] although she is seen as tougher on Israel and more sympathetic to Palestinians than Biden or Trump.[382] Following the 2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel, Harris at first supported Israel's offensive,[402][384] saying "the threat Hamas poses to the people of Israel must be eliminated".[236] Since then, she criticized Israel's actions and the Gaza humanitarian crisis.[382] In March 2024, Harris opposed Israel's invasion of Rafah,[236] called for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza,[384][236] and called the situation in Gaza a "humanitarian catastrophe".[236] Harris supported continued aid to Israel and Palestine but insisted that Israel should agree to a ceasefire and hostage deal and both sides should move towards a two-state solution.[403] In the Democratic primaries, the Uncommitted National Movement led a protest campaign against Biden over the war, calling for a ceasefire and arms embargo on Israel. It received over 700,000 votes and 36 delegates.[404] Harris was seen as more sympathetic to Palestinians, and she and her campaign interacted more with Arab-American and Uncommitted leaders;[405][404] however, Harris refused to halt weapons shipments to Israel or shift policy much from Biden, saying Israel has a right to defend itself.[406][407] By October, Uncommitted encouraged its members to vote for Harris.[408]

During his first term as president, Trump consistently supported Israel.[409] He presented himself as a stronger defender of Israel than Biden, and was seen as less sympathetic to Palestine than Biden or Harris.[397] Trump was expected to continue arming Israel, likely with "no strings attached" for humanitarian concerns.[410] He voiced strong support for Israel's war on Hamas and Gaza, saying that Israel must "finish the problem".[411] Trump told donors he would "crush" pro-Palestinian protests, deport non-citizen protesters, and "set the movement back 25 or 30 years".[412][413] Trump said he would ban Gaza residents from entering the United States.[414] At times, he was critical of Israel's war in Gaza, saying Israel should "get it over with ... get back to peace and stop killing people".[415][416]

Israeli-American billionaire Miriam Adelson sought support from candidate Trump for Israel's annexation of the West Bank, pledging more than $100 million to Trump's campaign in exchange for U.S. recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the region.[417][418] In January 2025, the Times of Israel reported that Adelson gave Trump's campaign at least $100 million in October 2024, making her that campaign's third largest donor.[419]

LGBTQ rights

In the 2020s, conservative politicians in state legislatures introduced a growing number of bills that restrict the rights of LGBTQ people, especially transgender people.[420] A strong supporter of LGBTQ people's rights,[421] Harris denounced legislative attacks on transgender rights in states across the country.[422][423] Trump promised to roll back policies regarding transgender individuals.[424] Harris and Walz campaigned as supporters of LGBTQ+ rights.[425][426] Trump stated he would rescind Biden's Title IX protections "on day one" for transgender students using bathrooms, locker rooms, and pronouns that align with their gender identities.[427] Trump stated he would enact a federal law that would recognize only two genders and claimed that being transgender is a concept only recently manufactured by "the radical left".[428] Trump previously withdrew Title IX provisions that allowed transgender youth to have access to the bathrooms of their choice, and he attempted to roll-back several transgender-related policies in the Affordable Care Act.[424] Trump repeated a false claim that children undergo transgender surgery while at school, without parental knowledge or consent.[429][430] His campaign's "Kamala is for they/them, President Trump is for you" attack ad was the most effective of the campaign, shifting the race 2.7 percentage points in favor of Trump after viewers watched it.[431]

Assassination attempts on Trump

Trump at the RNC standing alongside the fire department uniform of Corey Comperatore, who was killed during the attempted assassination of Trump

On July 13, 2024, Trump survived an assassination attempt while addressing a campaign rally near Butler, Pennsylvania.[432] Trump was shot and wounded on his right ear by Thomas Matthew Crooks,[433][434] who fired eight rounds with an AR-15–style rifle from the roof of a building approximately 400 feet (120 metres) from the stage; the shots killed one audience member and critically injured two others.[433] Seconds later, Crooks was shot and killed by the U.S. Secret Service's counter-sniper team.[435] On September 11, 2024, a bipartisan Senate report identified tech issues and other preventable mistakes by the Secret Service during the event.[436]

On September 15, 2024, Trump survived a separate assassination attempt at Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, Florida. The suspect did not fire his weapon, and no deaths or injuries were reported.[437] The suspect, Ryan Wesley Routh, is in custody.[438]

Violence towards election workers

Since the 2020 election and continuing into the 2024 election, the election denial movement prompted thousands of death threats directed at election workers, officials, and their families, with some receiving letters laced with fentanyl.[439][440] As of March 2024, the Department of Justice's Election Threats Task Force had charged 20 people with threat-related crimes.[441] In September 2024, suspicious packages were sent to state election officials in several states, which resulted in evacuations. The inclusion of white powder in most of the packages mirrored the 2001 anthrax attacks; the substance in Oklahoma packages was identified as flour.[442] Threats led some election workers to resign, and affected recruitment of temporary poll workers.[443][444] In locations where funds were available,[444] efforts to protect election workers involved active shooter training, provision of first aid kits and Narcan, bulletproof vests, bulletproof glass, metal detectors, armed guards, police snipers, and drones.[443]

Violence towards voters

On October 30, 2024, an 18-year-old man in Jacksonville, Florida, was arrested for aggravated assault and improper exhibition of a dangerous weapon after brandishing a machete at two women outside an early voting center. He, along with seven other teenagers, allegedly approached and antagonized members of the opposing political party as they were demonstrating. Neither the teenager's nor the women's political parties were disclosed, although later posts by the Duval Democratic Party described the teenager's party as a "group of young men carrying Trump flags".[445] On November 1, 2024, a voter wearing a "Let's Go Brandon" hat was reportedly struck by a poll worker after a verbal altercation over his hat at an Orangeburg County, South Carolina, polling location.[446] Also on November 1, a man in Bath, New York, was arrested for assaulting someone in a supermarket for wearing a Trump hat.[447]

Arson of ballot boxes

In late October 2024, multiple fires were reported at ballot drop boxes in Portland, Oregon, and Vancouver, Washington. The fires damaged hundreds of ballots, requiring election officials to identify and offer new ballots to those affected by the fires. Prior to the fires, the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Department of Homeland Security had issued a bulletin raising concerns that "election-related grievances" could motivate domestic extremist activity and that ballot drop boxes could potentially be "attractive targets".[448][449] In Phoenix, Arizona, a fire was started in a mail collection box, destroying some ballots and other mail. A suspect was arrested and claimed that the fire was unrelated to the election.[450]

Timeline

Opinion polling and forecasts

Electoral College forecasts

Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts of the composition of the Electoral College. These forecasts use a variety of factors to estimate the likelihood of each candidate winning the Electoral College electors for that state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "very likely" (used by some predictors): massive advantage that is stronger than "likely"
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by forecasters The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, CNalysis, Decision Desk HQ, and YouGov are omitted for brevity.[b]

Exit poll

Voter demographics

2024 presidential election exit poll[462] compared to 9% in 2020.[463]
Demographic subgroup Trump Harris % of
total vote
Rep.
swing
Dem.
swing
Total vote 50 48 100 +3 −3
Ideology
Liberals 7 91 23 −3 +2
Moderates 40 58 42 +6 −6
Conservatives 90 9 35 +5 −5
Party
Democrats 4 95 31 −2 +1
Republicans 94 5 35 0 −1
Independents 46 49 34 +5 −5
Gender
Men 55 43 47 +2 −2
Women 45 53 53 +3 −4
Marital status
Married 56 42 54 +3 −3
Unmarried 42 55 46 +2 −3
Gender by marital status
Married men 60 38 28 +5 −5
Married women 52 47 26 +1 −1
Unmarried men 48 48 19 +3 −4
Unmarried women 38 61 26 +2 −1
Race/ethnicity
White 57 42 71 −1 +1
Black 13 86 11 +1 −1
Latino 46 51 11 +13 −14
Asian 40 55 3 +4 −8
Native American/American Indian 68 31 1 N/A N/A
Other 52 44 2 +11 −11
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men 60 38 34 −1 0
White women 53 46 37 −2 +2
Black men 21 77 5 +2 −2
Black women 7 92 7 −2 +2
Latino men 54 44 6 +18 −15
Latina women 39 58 6 +9 −11
Other 47 49 6 +9 −9
Religion
Protestant/Other Christian 63 36 43 +3 −3
Catholic 59 39 21 +12 −13
Jewish 22 78 2 0 +2
Other religion 34 61 10 +5 −7
No religious affiliation 27 71 24 −4 +6
Religion by race
White Protestant 72 26 31 0 −1
White Catholic 63 35 15 +7 −9
White Jewish 20 79 2 N/A N/A
White other religion 42 55 5 +9 −10
White no religious affiliation 26 71 17 −11 +10
White evangelical or born again Christian
Yes 82 17 23 +6 −7
No 40 58 77 +4 −4
Age
18–24 years old 43 54 8 +12 −11
25–29 years old 45 53 5 +2 −1
30–39 years old 45 51 15 −1 0
40–49 years old 49 49 15 +5 −5
50–64 years old 56 43 27 +4 −4
65 and older 50 49 28 −2 +2
Age by gender
Men 18–29 years old 49 48 7
Men 30–44 years old 52 45 11
Men 45–64 years old 59 39 16
Men 65 and older 56 43 12
Women 18–29 years old 38 61 7
Women 30–44 years old 41 56 12
Women 45–64 years old 50 49 19
Women 65 years and older 46 53 16
Age by race
White 18–29 years old 49 49 8
White 30–44 years old 54 44 15
White 45–64 years old 61 37 25
White 65 and older 56 43 23
Black 18–29 years old 16 83 2
Black 30–44 years old 15 83 3
Black 45–64 years old 14 84 4
Black 65 and older 6 93 3
Latino 18–29 years old 45 51 2
Latino 30–44 years old 45 52 3
Latino 45–64 years old 48 51 4
Latino 65 and older 41 58 2
Others 47 49 6
LGBT
Yes 12 86 8 −11 +11
No 53 45 92 +5 −6
First time voter
Yes 55 44 8 +23 −20
No 49 49 92 0 0
Education
No college degree 56 43 57 +6 −5
College graduate 42 56 43 −1 +1
Educational attainment
High school or less 62 36 15 +8 −10
Some college education 51 47 26 +4 −4
Associate degree 57 41 16 +7 −6
Bachelor's degree 45 53 24 −2 +2
Postgraduate degree 38 59 19 +1 −3
Education by race
White college graduates 45 53 33 −3 +2
White no college degree 66 32 38 −1 0
Non-White college graduates 32 65 10 +5 −5
Non-White no college degree 34 64 18 +8 −8
Education by race/gender
White women with college degrees 41 58 17 −4 +4
White women without college degrees 63 35 20 0 −1
White men with college degrees 50 48 16 −1 0
White men without college degrees 69 29 18 −1 +1
Non-White 33 64 29 +7 −7
Income
Under $30,000 46 50 11 0 −4
$30,000–49,999 52 46 16 +8 −10
$50,000–99,999 52 46 32 +10 −10
$100,000–199,999 46 51 28 −11 +10
Over $200,000 46 52 13 −2 +4
Union households
Yes 45 53 19 +4 −3
No 51 47 81 +2 −3
Military service
Veterans 65 34 13 +11 −10
Non-veterans 48 50 87 +3 −3
Region
East 44 54 20 +4 −4
Midwest 52 46 22 +1 −1
South 56 43 35 +3 −3
West 43 54 22 +2 −3
Area type
Urban 38 60 29 0 0
Suburban 51 47 52 +3 −3
Rural 64 34 19 +7 −8
White suburban voters by gender
White suburban women 53 46 20
White suburban men 62 36 18
Other voters 45 52 62

Issue questions

2024 presidential election exit poll[462]
Response category Trump Harris % of
total vote
Total vote 50 48 100
Biden job approval
Strongly disapprove 94 4 45
Somewhat disapprove 42 54 14
Somewhat approve 4 95 24
Strongly approve 1 98 15
2020 presidential vote
Biden 5 93 44
Trump 95 4 44
Another candidate 44 34 2
Did not vote 49 46 10
Feeling about the way things are going in U.S.
Angry 73 26 31
Dissatisfied 55 42 42
Satisfied 16 83 19
Enthusiastic 9 91 6
America's best days are
In the future 40 58 61
In the past 67 31 34
Quality of candidate that mattered most
Has ability to lead 66 33 30
Can bring needed change 74 24 28
Has good judgment 15 83 20
Cares about people like me 25 72 18
Vote for president mainly
For your candidate 55 44 73
Against their opponent 36 60 24
Candidate viewed as too extreme
Trump is too extreme 2 97 45
Harris is too extreme 99 1 39
Both Harris and Trump are too extreme 67 22 8
Neither Harris or Trump is too extreme 67 27 4
Decided on presidential vote
Before September 51 49 80
In September 46 52 6
In October 42 49 5
In last week 56 42 3
In last few days 47 42 3
Feeling if Trump elected president
Excited 98 2 22
Optimistic 94 5 27
Concerned 12 84 14
Scared 1 97 35
Feeling if Harris elected president
Excited 1 99 23
Optimistic 6 93 25
Concerned 89 7 20
Scared 98 1 30
Favorable opinion of
Only Harris 1 99 44
Only Trump 99 0 44
Both Harris and Trump 52 47 2
Neither 52 32 8
Issue regarded as most important
Democracy 18 80 34
Economy 81 18 32
Abortion 24 76 14
Immigration 89 9 12
Foreign policy 56 39 4
Democracy threatened in the United States
Democracy in U.S. very threatened 52 47 39
Democracy in U.S. somewhat threatened 48 50 34
Democracy in U.S. somewhat secure 47 50 17
Democracy in U.S. very secure 54 44 8
Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately
Very confident 13 84 35
Somewhat confident 59 39 32
Not very confident 82 16 21
Not at all confident 80 18 10
Concerned about violence as result of election
Yes 42 56 70
No 69 29 28
Condition of the nation's economy
Poor 88 10 33
Not so good 52 46 35
Good 7 92 27
Excellent 11 89 5
Family's financial situation today
Worse than four years ago 82 16 47
About the same 27 71 29
Better than four years ago 14 83 24
Inflation caused family hardship within past year
Severe hardship 76 23 22
Moderate hardship 52 46 53
No hardship 21 78 24
Candidate trusted more to handle the economy
Trump 93 5 53
Harris 1 98 46
Abortion should be
Legal in all cases 9 88 33
Legal in most cases 49 49 33
Illegal in most cases 92 7 25
Illegal in all cases 88 11 5
Candidate trusted more to handle abortion
Trump 96 2 46
Harris 5 93 49
Opinion of Supreme Court
Approve 85 14 36
Disapprove 27 72 59
Most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. should be
Offered chance at legal status 22 76 56
Deported 87 11 40
Candidate trusted more to handle immigration
Trump 91 7 53
Harris 1 97 44
U.S. support for Israel is
Too strong 30 67 31
About right 39 60 30
Not strong enough 82 18 31
Candidate trusted more to handle crime and safety
Trump 95 4 52
Harris 1 98 47
Candidate trusted more to handle