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Deutsch2024 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of Alaska from its at-large congressional district. The election will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House, elections to the United States Senate, and various other state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic representative Mary Peltola was elected to a full term in 2022 with 55.0% of the vote using instant-runoff voting after winning a special election that same year to complete the remaining months of Don Young's term.[1] Peltola is running for re-election to a second full term in 2024.[2] The primary election is scheduled for August 20, 2024.
Candidates[edit]
Democratic Party[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Mary Peltola, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Republican Party[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Nick Begich III, Alaska Policy Forum board member, grandson of former U.S. Representative Nick Begich, and third-place finisher for U.S. House in 2022[3]
- Nancy Dahlstrom, Lieutenant Governor of Alaska[4]
- Gerald Heikes, drywall contractor and perennial candidate[5]
No Labels[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Richard Grayson, author, former co-chair of the Pinal County, Arizona Green Party, and perennial candidate[6]
Libertarian Party[edit]
Potential[edit]
Independents[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Samuel Claesson, author[8]
- Lady Donna Dutchess, notary, candlemaker, and candidate for U.S. House in 2022[9]
Primary election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Nick Begich III (R)
- U.S representatives
- Byron Donalds, U.S. representative from FL-19 (2021–present)[10]
- Individuals
- Vivek Ramaswamy, pharmaceutical executive and 2024 Republican presidential candidate[11]
- Organizations
Nancy Dahlstrom (R)
- Governors
- U.S representatives
- Mike Johnson, Speaker of the House (2023–present) from LA-4 (2017–present)[14]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from NY-21 (2015–present)[15]
- Organizations
- Anchorage Republican Women[16]
- Congressional Leadership Fund[17]
Mary Peltola (D)
- Federal officials
- Lisa Murkowski, U.S. Senator from Alaska (Republican)[18]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Democratic Majority for Israel[20]
- EMILY's List[21]
- Feminist Majority PAC[22]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[23]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[24]
- Koniag, Incorporated[25]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[26]
- National Women's Political Caucus[27]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[28]
- Swing Left[29]
Fundraising[edit]
| Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Mary Peltola (D) | $2,912,626 | $1,829,139 | $1,774,746 |
| Nick Begich III (R) | $392,255 | $252,609 | $180,879 |
| Nancy Dahlstrom (R) | $204,302 | $3,236 | $201,066 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[30] | |||
Polling[edit]
Top four primary[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Nick Begich (R) | Chris Bye (L) | Nancy Dahlstrom (R) | Richard Grayson (NL) | Mary Peltola (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D) | February 23 – March 4, 2024 | 1,120 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 2% | 10% | – | 44% | 8% |
| Remington Research (R)[A] | December 11–14, 2023 | 672 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 28% | 7% | 9% | 2% | 42% | 11% |
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[31] | Lean D | December 12, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[32] | Tilt D | December 15, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] | Lean D | June 8, 2023 |
| Elections Daily[34] | Tossup | June 8, 2023 |
| CNalysis[35] | Lean D | November 16, 2023 |
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | RCV count | Mary Peltola (D) | Nick Begich (R) | Nancy Dahlstrom (R) | Chris Bye (L) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D) | February 23 – March 2, 2024 | 1,120 (LV) | ± 3.0% | |||||
| 1 | 47% | 39% | 12% | 3% | ||||
| 2 | 48% | 41% | 12% | Elim | ||||
| 3 | 50% | 50% | Elim | Elim |
Notes[edit]
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Begich's campaign
References[edit]
- ^ "State of Alaska 2022 GENERAL ELECTION Election Summary Report" (PDF). Alaska Division of Elections. November 30, 2022.
- ^ a b Fortinsky, Sarah. "Alaska's GOP lieutenant governor joins race against Dem Rep. Mary Peltola". The Hill. Retrieved November 25, 2023.
Peltola officially launched her 2024 reelection bid the following month.
- ^ Bazail-Eimil, Eric (July 13, 2023). "Nick Begich challenging Peltola for House seat in Alaska". POLITICO. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
- ^ Samuels, Iris (November 14, 2023). "Lt. Gov. Dahlstrom to challenge Democratic incumbent Peltola in Alaska U.S. House race". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved November 14, 2023.
- ^ "2024 PRIMARY ELECTION - Candidates". Alaska Secretary of State. Retrieved December 23, 2023.
- ^ Winger, Richard (September 28, 2023). "Alaska U.S. House Candidate for 2024 with "No Labels" Qualifies for August 2024 Primary Ballot". Ballot Access News. Retrieved October 6, 2023.
- ^ Downing, Suzanne (December 18, 2023). "Poll shows Begich in strong #2 ranking for Congress". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved December 19, 2023.
- ^ "Claesson Enters Congressional Race in Alaska's At-Large District". Juneau Journal. Juneau Journal. March 23, 2024. Archived from the original on March 23, 2024. Retrieved March 23, 2024.
- ^ Jarrett, Kim (November 14, 2023). "Alaska's lieutenant governor announces bid for Congress". The Center Square. Retrieved November 14, 2023.
- ^ Downing, Suzanne (January 29, 2024). "Congressional candidate Nick Begich picks up big endorsement: Congressman Byron Donalds". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
- ^ Downing, Suzanne (February 15, 2024). "Vivek Ramaswamy endorses Nick Begich for Congress". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
- ^ a b Downing, Suzanne (August 4, 2023). "Nick Begich starts stacking up endorsements for Congress '24". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved October 1, 2023.
- ^ "Governor Mike Dunleavy Endorses Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom for Congress". Alaska Native News. February 5, 2024. Retrieved February 5, 2024.
- ^ Ruskin, Liz (December 15, 2023). "Speaker Johnson picks Dahlstrom to beat Peltola and flip Alaska's House seat". Alaska Public Media.
- ^ Samuels, Iris (February 8, 2024). "Dahlstrom ahead of Begich but far behind Peltola in fundraising for U.S. House campaign". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
Despite the apparent lack of campaign activity, Dahlstrom has already garnered endorsements from House Speaker Mike Johnson and House Republican Conference Chair Elise Stefanik
- ^ "Thrilled to join the Anchorage Republican Women to talk about Election Integrity. Alaskans need a proven fighter in Washington to stop Biden and the extreme liberals attacking Alaska's way of life". November 17, 2023. Retrieved March 17, 2024.
- ^ Schilke, Rachel (April 3, 2024). "Johnson-linked PAC releases first slate of 'trailblazer' House endorsements - Washington Examiner". Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ^ Downing, Suzanne (March 30, 2024). "Murkowski won't endorse Bronson for mayor, but endorses mail-in elections in Anchorage". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved March 31, 2024.
- ^ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
- ^ "DMFI PAC Announces First Round of 2024 Endorsements for U.S. House". DMFI PAC. December 18, 2023. Archived from the original on December 18, 2023. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
- ^ Ackley, Kate (March 15, 2023). "EMILY's List: These 18 Democrats are crucial to taking House control". Roll Call. Retrieved October 1, 2023.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ "JDCA ANNOUNCES KEY 2024 ENDORSEMENTS". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Archived from the original on November 6, 2023. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
- ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "Koniag Board of Directors Endorses Mary Peltola for U.S. Congress". Alaska Native News. March 16, 2024. Retrieved March 17, 2024.
- ^ Communications (June 21, 2023). "NARAL Pro-Choice America Launches 2024 Electoral Program with Endorsement of Frontline Incumbents for U.S. House of Representatives". NARAL Pro-Choice America. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
- ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Announces New Endorsement Slate for House in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved October 10, 2023.
- ^ "Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama". Swing Left.
- ^ "2024 Election United States House - Alaska". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 16, 2023.
- ^ "2024 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
- ^ "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
- ^ "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
- ^ "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
External links[edit]
- Official campaign sites