2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
Turnout48.44% Decrease
 
Nominee Josh Green Duke Aiona
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Sylvia Luke Seaula Tupa'i Jr.
Popular vote 261,025 152,237
Percentage 63.16% 36.84%
Green:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Aiona:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No votes
Governor before election

David Ige
Democratic

Elected Governor

Josh Green
Democratic

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The 2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Hawaii. Incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. Incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Green was the Democratic nominee, and faced former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona, the Republican nominee. This marked the third time Aiona had been the Republican gubernatorial nominee, having previously run unsuccessfully in 2010 and 2014. Green won the election with 63.2% of the vote.[1][2]

Green's performance was the highest percentage of the vote ever received by any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history, surpassing the record from the previous election. Despite this, Aiona performed 3 points better and received 20,000 more raw votes than Andria Tupola did in 2018, likely because there were no third-party candidates in the 2022 race. Green is the first Hawaii governor born after Hawaii's statehood.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]
Declined
[edit]
Endorsements
[edit]
Kirk Caldwell (withdrew)

Individual

Vicky Cayetano

Organizations

  • Patsy T. Mink Foundation[16]
Josh Green

Labor unions

Publications

  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board [19]
Kai Kahele

Labor unions

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kirk
Caldwell 		Vicky
Cayetano 		Josh
Green 		Kai
Kahele 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon[21] July 12–17, 2022 317 (LV) ± 5.6% – 19% 55% 16% 10%
MRG Research[22] June 28–30, 2022 782 (LV) ± 4.0% – 15% 48% 16% 22%
May 4, 2022 Caldwell withdraws from the race
Public Policy Polling (D)[23][A] February 8–9, 2022 644 (LV) ± 3.9% 5% 10% 46% 14% 25%
– 10% 48% 17% 25%
Mason-Dixon[24] January 24–28, 2022 320 (LV) ± 5.6% 11% 8% 58% – 23%
Public Policy Polling (D)[25][A] November 5–6, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 7% 14% 51% – 28%
– 21% 58% – –

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Green—60–70%
  Green—40–50%
Democratic primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Josh Green 158,161 62.91%
Democratic Vicky Cayetano 52,447 20.86%
Democratic Kai Kahele 37,738 15.01%
Democratic Van Tanabe 1,236 0.49%
Democratic Richard Kim 991 0.39%
Democratic David Bourgoin 590 0.23%
Democratic Clyde Lewman 249 0.10%
Total votes 251,412 100.0%

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Keith Amemiya

Labor unions

Ikaika Anderson

Individuals

Labor unions

Sherry Menor-McNamara

Organizations

  • Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Hawaii[40]
Sylvia Luke

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations and professional associations

  • Americans for Democratic Action[40]
  • General Contractors Association of Hawai‘i[40]
  • Patsy T. Mink PAC[40]
  • Hawaii Association of Realtors[44]
  • Hawaii Lodging and Tourism Association[44]

Publications

  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[45]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Keith
Amemiya 		Ikaika
Anderson 		Sylvia
Luke 		Sherry
Menor-McNamara 		Jill
Tokuda 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon[46] July 12–17, 2022 317 (LV) ± 5.6% 19% 18% 21% 4% – 38%
MRG Research[47] June 28–30, 2022 782 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 14% 20% 7% – 48%
April 27, 2022 Tokuda withdraws from the race
Mason-Dixon[48] January 24–28, 2022 320 (LV) ± 5.6% 8% 9% 3% 7% 13% 60%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Luke—<40%
  Anderson—<40%
Democratic primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sylvia Luke 87,797 36.23%
Democratic Ikaika Anderson 67,462 27.84%
Democratic Keith Amemiya 57,199 23.60%
Democratic Sherry Menor-McNamara 25,349 10.46%
Democratic Sam Puletasi 2,328 0.96%
Democratic Daniel Cunningham 2,215 0.91%
Total votes 242,350 100.0%

Republican primary

[edit]

Governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]
Endorsements
[edit]
Duke Aiona

Labor unions

  • State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, police union[59]

Publications

  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board [19]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Duke
Aiona 		Gary
Cordery 		Lynn Barry
Mariano 		Paul
Morgan 		B.J.
Penn 		Heidi Haunani
Tsuneyoshi 		Undecided
Mason-Dixon[21] July 12–17, 2022 133 (LV) ± 8.7% 48% – – – 26% 9% 17%
MRG Research[60] June 28–30, 2022 269 (LV) ± 6.0% 27% 7% 3% 1% 24% 9% 29%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Aiona—50–60%
  Aiona—40–50%
Republican primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Duke Aiona 37,608 49.57%
Republican B.J. Penn 19,817 26.12%
Republican Gary Cordery 8,258 10.88%
Republican Heidi Haunani Tsuneyoshi 7,255 9.56%
Republican Lynn Barry Mariano 903 1.19%
Republican Paul Morgan 796 1.05%
Republican Keline Kahau 469 0.62%
Republican Walter Woods 438 0.58%
Republican Moses Paskowitz 189 0.25%
Republican George Hawat 140 0.18%
Total votes 75,873 100.0%

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Seaula Tupa'i Jr., pastor[5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Rob Burns, realtor
  • Tae Kim, candidate for Honolulu prosecutor in 2020[5]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Tupai—60–70%
  Tupai—50–60%
Republican primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Seaula Tupai Jr. 35,798 53.56%
Republican Rob Burns 23,121 34.60%
Republican Tae Kim 7,911 11.84%
Total votes 66,830 100.0%

Nonpartisan primary

[edit]

Under Hawaii law, a nonpartisan candidate must either receive at least ten percent of the vote for that office (32,729 votes for governor or 30,918 votes for lieutenant governor) or receive a vote "equal to or greater than the lowest vote received by the partisan candidate who was nominated" (37,608 votes for governor or 35,798 votes for lieutenant governor) to qualify for the general election ballot.[61] Because none of the nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor met that threshold, no nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor advanced to the general election.

Governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Caleb Nazara, pastor
  • Keleionalani Taylor, activist

Results

[edit]
Nonpartisan primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Keleionalani Taylor 755 61.94%
Nonpartisan Caleb Nazara 464 38.06%
Total votes 1,219 100.0%

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Charles Keoho

Results

[edit]
Nonpartisan primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Charles Keoho 1,030 100.0%
Total votes 1,030 100.0%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[62] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[63] Solid D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[64] Safe D January 26, 2022
Politico[65] Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP[66] Safe D January 10, 2022
Fox News[67] Solid D May 12, 2022
538[68] Solid D June 30, 2022
Elections Daily[69] Safe D November 7, 2022

Endorsements

[edit]
Josh Green (D)

Organizations

Labor unions

Publications

  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[19] (co-endorsed with Aiona)
Duke Aiona (R)

Labor unions

  • State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers[59]

Publications

  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[19] (co-endorsed with Green)

Results

[edit]
2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election[72]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
261,025 63.16% +0.49%
Republican
152,237 36.84% +3.14%
Total votes 413,262 100.00%
Turnout 417,215 48.44% –4.24
Registered electors 861,358
Democratic hold

By county

[edit]
By county
County Josh Green
Democratic 		Duke Aiona
Republican 		Margin Total
votes
# % # % # %
Hawaii[73] 42,152 65.84 21,870 34.16 20,282 31.68 64,022
Honolulu[74] 170,575 62.36 102,968 37.64 67,607 24.72 273,543
Kauai[75] 14,227 59.63 9,632 40.37 4,595 19.26 23,859
Maui[76] 33,930 65.79 17,641 34.21 16,289 31.58 51,571
Totals 259,901 63.21 151,258 36.79 108,643 26.42 411,159

By congressional district

[edit]

Green won both congressional districts.[77]

District Green Aiona Representative
1st 64% 36% Ed Case
2nd 62% 38% Kai Kahele (117th Congress)
Jill Tokuda (118th Congress)

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which endorsed Josh Green

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Hawaii election results". The New York Times. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 14, 2022.
  2. ^ Blaze Lovell (November 8, 2022). "Hawaii Governor: Josh Green Easily Defeats Duke Aiona". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved November 14, 2022.
  3. ^ a b Nagaoka, Ashley (August 15, 2019). "Believe it or not, race to replace Gov. Ige is already taking shape". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  4. ^ a b Blair, Chad (October 1, 2019). "Caldwell Schedules Campaign Fundraiser For Governor's Race". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "2022 Office of Elections Filing Report". Hawaii Office of Elections. March 4, 2022. Retrieved March 11, 2022.
  6. ^ Dayton, Kevin (July 15, 2021). "Former First Lady Vicky Cayetano Is Mulling A Run For Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat.
  7. ^ "Former First Lady Vicky Cayetano Announces Run for Governor". Hawai'i Public Radio. August 31, 2021. Retrieved September 10, 2021.
  8. ^ "Vicky Cayetano launches Democratic gubernatorial campaign". news.yahoo.com. August 31, 2021. Retrieved September 10, 2021.
  9. ^ McIntire, Mary Ellen (April 28, 2022). "Report: Hawaii's Kahele to run for governor instead of reelection". Roll Call. Retrieved May 2, 2022.
  10. ^ Nakaso, Dan (May 7, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele announces bid for governor". Retrieved May 7, 2022.
  11. ^ Blair, Chad (May 4, 2022). "Kirk Caldwell Drops Out Of Race For Hawaii Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  12. ^ "'Not my time': Former Mayor Kirk Caldwell drops out of race for governor". Hawaii News Now. May 4, 2022. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  13. ^ Wells, Dylan (December 22, 2020). "NEW: Former Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D-HI 01) is not ruling out running for governor in 2022. Hanabusa left Congress in 2018 to run against incumbent Gov. David Ige (D), who cannot run in 2022 because of term limits. #HIGov #Hileg". National Journal. Retrieved December 22, 2020.
  14. ^ Morales, Manolo (February 26, 2021). "Police Report Disputes Rep. Sharon Har's Statement about DUI Arrest". KHON2. Retrieved June 5, 2021.
  15. ^ HPR News Staff (November 24, 2021). "Kauaʻi Mayor Derek Kawakami endorses Kirk Caldwell in governor's race".
  16. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab Nakaso, Dan (July 4, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele gets key union backing, Lt. Gov. Josh Green adds to long list". Retrieved July 16, 2022.
  17. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Nakaso, Dan (April 3, 2022). "Endorsements stacking up for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
  18. ^ a b c d e f Dayton, Kevin (March 28, 2022). "Lt. Gov. Josh Green Is Racking Up Union Endorsements, Adding To His Momentum". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
  19. ^ a b c d Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board (July 24, 2022). "Editorial: For governor's race, it's Josh Green and Duke Aiona".
  20. ^ a b "Congressman Kaialiʻi Kahele makes official announcement of run for Hawaiʻi Governor". www.mauinow.com. May 7, 2022. Retrieved May 14, 2022.
  21. ^ a b Mason-Dixon
  22. ^ MRG Research
  23. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  24. ^ Mason-Dixon
  25. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  26. ^ a b c d e f "August 13, 2022 Primary Election - Statewide Summary" (PDF). State of Hawaii - Office of Elections.
  27. ^ Blair, Chad (October 24, 2021). "Hawaii Rep. Sylvia Luke Plans To Run For Lieutenant Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
  28. ^ "State Rep. Sylvia Luke announces run for lieutenant governor". Hawaii News Now.
  29. ^ Nakaso, Dan (November 7, 2021). "Keith Amemiya joins race for lieutenant governor". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 8, 2021.
  30. ^ "Ikaika Anderson Launches Campaign for Hawaii Lt. Governor". October 12, 2021.
  31. ^ Nakaso, Dan (November 3, 2021). "Chamber of Commerce Hawaii leader Sherry Menor-McNamara running for lieutenant governor". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 3, 2021.
  32. ^ "Former State Senator Jill Tokuda seeking to be Hawaiʻi's next lieutenant governor". October 7, 2021.
  33. ^ Nakaso, Dan (April 26, 2022). "Former state Sen. Jill Tokuda files to challenge Kai Kahele for congressional seat". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  34. ^ Richardson, Mahealani (April 27, 2022). "Mounting speculation about a Kahele run for governor triggers 'grand chess game'". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  35. ^ "Sergio Alcubilla for Congress". Sergio Alcubilla for Congress. Archived from the original on July 13, 2021. Retrieved July 17, 2021.
  36. ^ a b c "Chad Blair: Here's How Hawaii's Top 2022 Political Races Are Shaking Out". August 19, 2021.
  37. ^ Nakaso, Dan (October 13, 2021). "Race expanding for Hawaii's next lieutenant governor". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 3, 2021.
  38. ^ "Lee Cataluna: Candidates for LG May Find the Game Has Changed". October 13, 2021.
  39. ^ a b c d Ancheta, Dillon (October 12, 2021). "Former City Council chair criticized by constituent at Lt. Gov. campaign launch". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved December 5, 2021.
  40. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Nakaso, Dan (July 12, 2022). "Ikaika Anderson receives key endorsement, Sylvia Luke has most in race for lieutenant governor". Retrieved July 16, 2022.
  41. ^ "Hawaii police officers' union endorses former councilman in Lt. Gov. race". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
  42. ^ a b c d "Testimonials". Sylvia Luke for LG. Retrieved July 3, 2024.
  43. ^ "HGEA endorses Sylvia Luke for lieutenant governor". Hawaii News Now. March 22, 2022. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
  44. ^ a b c d e f "Endorsements | Sylvia Luke for Lieutenant Governor | Honolulu". Sylvia Luke for LG. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
  45. ^ Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board (July 24, 2022). "Editorial: For lieutenant governor's race, it's Sylvia Luke". Honolulu Star-Advertiser.
  46. ^ Mason-Dixon
  47. ^ MRG Research
  48. ^ Mason-Dixon
  49. ^ "Former Lt. Gov. James 'Duke' Aiona files papers to run for governor". Hawaii News Now. June 7, 2022.
  50. ^ "'We lack a moral compass': Duke Aiona finally explains his decision to join the race for governor". Hawaii News Now. June 15, 2022.
  51. ^ "Vote Gary Cordery for Governor - Gary Cordery For Governor". March 7, 2022.
  52. ^ "Hawaii veteran joins governor's race on Republican ticket". February 2022.
  53. ^ "Paul Morgan To Officially Announce His Candidacy for Hawai'i Governor". Retrieved September 9, 2021.
  54. ^ "Paul Morgan For Governor". Retrieved September 9, 2021.
  55. ^ "Wanting to eliminate mandates, UFC fighter BJ Penn eyes run for governor". October 5, 2021.
  56. ^ "City Councilmember Heidi Tsuneyoshi announces run for governor". February 23, 2022.
  57. ^ Richardson, Mahealani (January 6, 2022). "Businessman's potential gubernatorial run could shake up general election race". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved January 23, 2022.
  58. ^ "City Council Member Andria Tupola Will Not Run for Governor Next Year". August 5, 2021.
  59. ^ a b Dan Nakaso (July 20, 2022). "Hawaii police union endorses Aiona for governor".
  60. ^ MRG Research
  61. ^ "NONPARTISAN CANDIDATES IN PARTISAN CONTESTS". Office of Elections. State of Hawaii.
  62. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  63. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  64. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  65. ^ "Hawaii Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  66. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  67. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  68. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  69. ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  70. ^ "Josh Green's Ratings and Endorsements - Vote Smart". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 5, 2022.
  71. ^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". Education Votes. Retrieved October 29, 2022.
  72. ^ "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - Statewide - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
  73. ^ "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Hawaii - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 17, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
  74. ^ "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - City and County of Honolulu - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 16, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
  75. ^ "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Kauai - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
  76. ^ "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Maui - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
  77. ^ "Results" (PDF). elections.hawaii.gov.
[edit]

Official campaign websites

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